Peer Reviewed
| 2025 | Carty, O. R., W. T. Wood, B. J. Phrampus, T. R. Lee, J. M. Frederick, M. Nole, D. Fukuyama, and H. Daigle (2024), Modeling gas, hydrates, and slope stability on the U.S. Atlantic margin during Pleistocene glacial cycles, Marine Geology, in review. |
| 2022 | Abbott, B. W., M. Brown, J. C. Carey, J. Ernakovich, J. M. Frederick, L. Guo, G. Hugelius, R. M. Lee, M. M. Loranty, R. Macdonald, P. J. Mann, S. M. Natali, D. Olefeldt, P. Pearson, A. Rec, M. Robards, V. G. Salmon, S. S. Sayedi, C. Schädel, E. A. G. Schuur, S. Shakil, A. J. Shogren, J. Strauss, S. E. Tank, B. F. Thornton, R. Treharne, M. Turetsky, C. Voigt, N. Wright, Y. Yang, J. P. Zarnetske, Q. Zhang, and S. Zolkos (2022). We Must Stop Fossil Fuel Emissions to Protect Permafrost Ecosystems, Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10. doi:10.3389/fenvs.2022.889428. [AWI press release] |
| 2021 | Eymold, W. K., J. M. Frederick, M. Nole, B. J. Phrampus and W. T. Wood (2021), Prediction of gas hydrate formation at Blake Ridge using machine learning and probabilistic reservoir simulation, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, Vol. 22 (4), doi:10.1029/2020GC009574. [Sandia Lab News] |
| Frederick, J. M., A. Mota, I. Tezaur, and D. L. Bull (2021), A thermo-mechanical terrestrial model of Arctic coastal erosion, Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 397, doi:10.1016/j.cam.2021.113533. | |
| 2020 | Sayedi, S. S., B. Abbott, B. Thornton, J. M. Frederick, J. Vonk, P. Overduin, C. Schadel, E. Schuur, A. Bourbonnais, A. Gavrilov, S. He, G. Hugelius, M. Jakobsson, M. Jones, D. Joung, G. Kraev, R. Macdonald, A. D. McGuire, C. Mu, M. O’Regan, K. Schreiner, C. Stranne, E. Pizhankova, A. Vasiliev, S. Westermann, J. P. Zarnetske, T. Zhang, M. Ghandehari, S. Baeumler, B. Brown, R. Frei, and A. Maslakov (2020), Subsea permafrost carbon stocks and climate change sensitivity estimated by expert assessment, Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 15, No. 12, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abcc29. [ERL press release] – [Stockholm University press release] – [Sandia Lab News] – [Yale School of the Environment story] – [ScienceDaily story] – [Eurasia Review story] – [Radio Ecoshock podcast] |
| Thomas, M. A., A. Mota, B. M. Jones, R. C. Choens, J. M. Frederick, and D. L. Bull (2020), Examining the influence of geometric and material variability on simulated stress states relevant to coastal permafrost bluff failure, Frontiers in Earth Science, Vol. 8, doi:10.3389/feart.2020.00143. | |
| 2019 | Tanski G., Bergstedt H., Bevington A., Bonnaventure P., Bouchard F., Coch C., Dumais S., Evgrafova A., Frauenfeld O. W., Frederick J. M., Fritz M., Frolov D., Harder S., Hartmeyer I., Heslop J., Hogstrom E., Johansson M., Kraev G., Kuznetsova E., Lenz J., Lupachev A., Magnin F., Martens J., Maslakov A., Morgenstern A., Nieuwendam A., Oliva M., Radosavljevic B., Ramage J., Schneider A., Stanilovskaya J., Strauss J., Trochim E., Vecellio D. J., Weber S., and Lantuit H. (2019), The Permafrost Young Researchers Network (PYRN) is getting older: The past, present, and future of our evolving community, Polar Record, https://doi.org/10.1017/S0032247418000645. |
| 2018 | Jones, B. M., L. M. Farquharson, C. A. Baughman, R. M. Buzard, C. D. Arp, G. Grosse, D. L. Bull, F. Gunther, I. Nitze, F. Urban, J. L. Kasper, J. M. Frederick, M. A. Thomas, C. Jones, A. Mota, S. Dallimore, C. Tweedie, C. Maio, D. H. Mann, B. Richmond, A. Gibbs, M. Xiao, T. Sachs, G. Iwahana, M. Kanevskiy, and V. E. Romanovsky (2018), A decade of remotely sensed observations highlight complex processes linked to coastal permafrost bluff erosion in the Arctic, Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, No. 11, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aae471. |
| Grenier, C., H. Anbergen, V. Bense, Q. Chanzy, E. Coon, N. Collier, F. Costard, M. Ferry, A. Frampton, J. M. Frederick, J. Goncalves, J. Holmen, A. Jost, S. Kokh, B. Kurylyk, J. McKenzie, J. Molson, E. Mouche, L. Orgogozo, R. Pannetier, A. Riviere, N. Roux, W. Ruhaak, J. Scheidegger, J.-O. Selroos, R. Therrien, P. Vidstrand, C. Voss (2018), Groundwater flow and heat transport for systems undergoing freeze-thaw: Intercomparison of numerical simulators for 2D test cases, Advances in Water Resources, 114, pp. 196-218, doi:10.1016/j.advwatres.2018.02.001. | |
| 2016 | Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2016), Submarine groundwater discharge as a possible formation mechanism for permafrost-associated gas hydrate on the circum-Arctic continental shelf, Journal of Geophysical Research Solid Earth, 121, doi:10.1002/2015JB012627. |
| 2015 | Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2015), Effects of submarine groundwater discharge on the present-day extent of relict submarine permafrost and gas hydrate stability on the Beaufort Sea continental shelf, Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface, 120, doi:10.1002/2014JF003349. |
| Fritz, M., M. Grigoriev, N. Pedentchouk, J. Frederick, and H. Lantuit (2015), Permafrost land-ocean interactions in the Arctic: From coastal to submarine permafrost including gas hydrate, Arctic in Rapid Transition (ART) Priority Sheet on Arctic Land-Ocean Interactions. | |
| 2014 | Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2014), Taliks in relict submarine permafrost and gas hydrate deposits: Pathways for methane escape under present and future conditions, Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface, 119, doi:10.10022013JF002987. |
| 2013 | Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2013), Use of cosmogenic 129-I to constrain numerical models of fluid flow in marine sediments: Application to the Blake Ridge Hydrate Province, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 14, doi:10.1002/ggge.20059. |
| 2011 | Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2011), Topography- and fracture-driven fluid focusing in layered ocean sediments, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L08614, doi:10.1029/2010GL046027. |
Technical Reports
| 2024 | Ackermann, M., C. Amann, B. K. Cook, P. Davies, A. Glen, J. M. Frederick, J. Holdren, M. Ivey, R. Leland, M. Maddox, K. Miner, S. Natali, B. Rogers, and J. Watts (2024), Pan-Arctic Methane – Current Monitoring Capabilities, Approaches for Improving Them, and Implications for Global Mitigation Targets, Wilson Center Polar Institute Report. |
| Gatz-Miller, H. S., J. M. Frederick, and T. S. Lowry (2024), The combined effect of mineral dissolution/precipitation and matrix thermal expansion/contraction on fracture aperture in enhanced geothermal systems: a reactive transport approach, PROCEEDINGS, 49th Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 12-14 February. | |
| 2022 | Frederick, J. M., Ethan W. Conley, Michael A. Nole, Thomas Marchitto, and Benjamin Wagman (2022), Quantifying the Known Unknown: Including Marine Sources of Greenhouse Gases in Climate Modeling, SAND2022-13028, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM. |
| Frederick, J. M., M. Nole, and H. Park (2022), A Novel Next-Generation Transport Simulator for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) Performance Assessment, Paper 39246, presented at the 2022 International High-Level Waste Management Conference, American Nuclear Society, Phoenix, AZ, 13-17 November. | |
| 2021 | Frederick, J. M., William K. Eymold, Michael A. Nole, Benjamin J. Phrampus, Taylor R. Lee, Warren T. Wood, David Fukuyama, Olin Carty, Hugh Daigle, Hongkyu Yoon, and Ethan Conley (2021), Forecasting Marine Sediment Properties with Geospatial Machine Learning, SAND2021-10675, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM. |
| 2020 | Bull, D.L., E. M. Bristol, E. Brown, R. C. Choens, C. T. Connolly, C. Flanary, J. M. Frederick, B. M. Jones, C. A. Jones, M. Ward Jones, J. W. McClelland, A. Mota, I. Tezaur (2020), Arctic Coastal Erosion: Modeling and Experimentation, SAND2020-10223, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM. |
| 2018 | Mariner, P.E., E.R. Stein, S.D. Sevougian, L.J. Cunningham, J.M. Frederick, G.E. Hammond, T.S. Lowry, S. Jordan, and E. Basurto (2018), Advances in Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment and an Unsaturated Alluvium Reference Case, SFWD-SFWST-2018-000509, SAND2018-11858 R, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM. |
| 2017 | Mariner, P.E., E.R. Stein, J.M. Frederick, S.D. Sevougian, and G.E. Hammond (2017), Advances in Geologic Disposal System Modeling and Shale Reference Cases, SFWD-SFWST-2017-000044, SAND2017-10304 R, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM. |
| Frederick, J. M., G. E. Hammond, P. E. Mariner, E. R. Stein, and S. D. Sevougian (2017), Development of a waste form process model in PFLOTRAN, Paper 19657, Proceedings of the 16th International High-Level Waste Management Conference, American Nuclear Society, Charlotte, N.C., 9-13 April. | |
| Hammond, G. E., and J. M. Frederick (2017), Minimizing the impact of software evolution on radioactive waste management, Paper 19658, Proceedings of the 16th International High-Level Waste Management Conference, American Nuclear Society, Charlotte, N.C., 9-13 April. | |
| Stein, E. R., J. M. Frederick, G. E. Hammond, K. L. Kuhlman, P. E. Mariner, S. D. Sevougian (2017), Modeling coupled reactive flow processes in fractured crystalline rock, Paper 19665, Proceedings of the 16th International High-Level Waste Management Conference, American Nuclear Society, Charlotte, N.C., 9-13 April. | |
| 2016 | Frederick, J. M., M. A. Thomas, D. L. Bull, C. Jones, and J. Roberts (2016), The Arctic Coastal Erosion Problem, SAND2016-9762, Sandia National Laboratories, NM. |
| Mariner, P. E., E. R. Stein, J. M. Frederick, S. D. Sevougian, G. E. Hammond, and D. G. Fascitelli (2016), Advances in Geologic Disposal System Modeling and Application to Crystalline Rock, FCRD-UFD-2016-000440, SAND2016-9610R, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM. | |
| Sevougian, S. D., E. R. Stein, M. B. Gross, G. E. Hammond, J. M. Frederick, and P. E. Mariner (2016), Status of Progress Made Toward Safety Analysis and Technical Site Evaluations for DOE Managed HLW and SNF, FCRD-UFD-2016-000082, SAND2016-11232R, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM. |
Conference Abstracts
| 2024 | Carty, O. R., W. T. Wood, B. J. Phrampus, T. R. Lee, J. M. Frederick, M. A. Nole, D. Fukuyama, and H. Daigle (2024), Using Machine Learning and Fluid Flow Modeling to Predict the Response of Marine Sediments around the U.S. Atlantic Margin to Gas Formation and Hydrate Dissociation, to be presented at the 2024 Fall Meeting, AGU, Washington, D.C., 9-13 December. |
| Bayat, E., J. M. Frederick, D. L. Bull, A. Mota, I. Tezaur, B. M. Jones, E. M. Bristol, R. C. Choens, C. Flanary, C. A. Jones, and M. K. Ward Jones (2024), Sensitivity studies on erosion criteria for the Arctic Coastal Erosion (ACE) Model, to be presented at the 2024 Fall Meeting, AGU, Washington, D.C., 9-13 December. | |
| Gatz-Miller, H. S., J. M. Frederick, and T. S. Lowry (2024), Reactive-transport modeling of fracture flow to quantify the changes in flow pathways from matrix thermal contraction and mineral precipitation and dissolution; influence of grid resolution, 2024 Geothermal Rising Conference, 27 – 30 October. | |
| Conley, E. W., H. S. Gatz-Miller, and J. M. Frederick (2024), Unraveling Climate-driven Freshwater Challenges Facing Inhabited Pacific Atolls: A Multifaceted Modeling Approach, presented at the 9th European Seminar on Computing (ESCO), Pilsen, CZ, 10-14 June. Received Best Student Presentation award (presented by Ethan W. Conley). | |
| Stanciu, A. C., J. Aerts, M. G. Baker, J. M. Frederick, and R. E. Abbott (2024), Event detection threshold on submarine fiber optic in the Arctic, presented at the 2024 Seismological Society of America (SSA) Annual Meeting, Anchorage, AK, 29 April – 3 May. | |
| Baker, M. G., A. C. Stanciu, R. E. Abbott, and J. M. Frederick (2024), Leveraging distributed fiber optic sensing for year-round observation of sea ice and submarine permafrost: Successes and lessons learned from the Beaufort Sea, Alaska, presented at the 2024 Seismological Society of America (SSA) Annual Meeting, Anchorage, AK, 29 April – 3 May. | |
| Frederick, J. M., A. Mota, I. Tezaur (presenter), D. L. Bull, and E. Bayat (2024), Development and Calibration of the Arctic Coastal Erosion (ACE) Model, Towards UQ of Climate Change-Induced Arctic Permafrost Degradation, presented at the 2024 SIAM Conference on Uncertainty Quantification (UQ24), Trieste, Italy, 27 Feb. – 1 Mar. | |
| Gatz-Miller, H. S., J. M. Frederick, and T. S. Lowry (2024), The combined effect of mineral dissolution/precipitation and matrix thermal expansion/contraction on fracture aperture in enhanced geothermal systems: a reactive transport approach, PROCEEDINGS, 49th Workshop on Geothermal Reservoir Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, 12-14 February. | |
| 2023 | Frederick, J. M., A. C. Stanciu, E. W. Conley, B. J. Herr, M. A. Malkowski, M. G. Baker, R. E. Abbott, E. A. Solomon, and K. R. Jones (2023), Mapping Submarine Permafrost Distribution Near Prudhoe Bay, AK, Using Seabed Distributed Temperature Sensing, presented at the 2023 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, CA, 11-15 December. |
| Herr, B., A. C. Stanciu, J. M. Frederick, J. Aerts, M. G. Baker, and R. E. Abbott (2023), Ambient Noise Tomography Using Distributed Acoustic Sensing Offshore Oliktok Point, Alaska, presented at the 2023 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, CA, 11-15 December. | |
| Stanciu, A. C., M. G. Baker, R. E. Abbott, J. M. Frederick, J. Aerts, B. Herr, and E. W. Conley (2023), Multi-Modal Sensing Using DAS and DTS on Submarine Fiber Optic in the Arctic, presented at the 2023 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, CA, 11-15 December. | |
| Conley, E. W., J. M. Frederick, A. C. Stanciu, B. Herr, M. A. Malkowski, M. G. Baker, R. E. Abbott, E. A. Solomon, and K. R. Jones (2023), Calibration of Distributed Temperature Sensing Data in Nearshore Arctic Sediments through Temperature-Controlled Experiments and Thermodynamic Numerical Simulations, presented at the 2023 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, CA, 11-15 December. | |
| Aerts, J., A. C. Stanciu, J. M. Frederick, B. Herr, M. G. Baker, and R. E. Abbott (2023), Utilizing Distributed Acoustic Sensing to Characterize Microseismicity within Arctic Sea Ice in the Beaufort Sea, presented at the 2023 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, CA, 11-15 December. | |
| Hasson, N., L. M. Farquharson, K. M. Walter Anthony, M. Nole, J. M. Frederick, and C. Smallwood (2023), Estimating Century Scale Carbon Emissions Across a Sub-aerial Talik Chronosequence in Yedoma Permafrost Near Fairbanks Alaska, presented at the 2023 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, CA, 11-15 December. | |
| Bigler, L. A., M. Nole, D. Nicolsky, J. M. Frederick, and L. M. Farquharson (2023), A Framework for Modeling Methane Production and Transport in Arctic Soils, presented at the 2023 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, CA, 11-15 December. | |
| Nole, M. A., J. M. Frederick, C. Smallwood, D. Fukuyama, L. A. Bigler, J. Stein, L. M. Farquharson, D. Nicolsky, P. B. Flemings, and T. Mills (2023), How Will Rapid Thaw in Permafrost Soils Lead to Ecotype-Scale Changes in Methane Fluxes?, presented at the 2023 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, CA, 11-15 December. | |
| Frederick, J. M. (2023), A Warming Arctic: Implications for Land and Seas, Keynote presentation at the Multinational Capability Development Campaign Climate Security Workshop, Washington, D.C., 7-9 November. | |
| Frederick, J. M., R. E. Abbott, M. G. Baker, A. C. Stanciu, K. R. Jones, E. W. Conley, B. Herr, and J. Aerts (2023), North Slope Fiber Optic Project: Distributed Acoustic and Temperature Sensing, presented at the Polar Oceanography & Operations Under the Ice (Oceanography Under Ice) Workshop & 2025 Ship to Shore High Latitude Experiment Planning Session, Newport, RI, 23-25 October. | |
| Bull, D. L., J. M. Frederick, A. Mota, and I. Tezaur (2023), A Coupled Thermomechanical Model for Permafrost Coastal Erosion, presented at the 17th U.S. National Congress on Computational Mechanics (USNCCM 17), Albuquerque, NM, 23-27 July. | |
| Frederick, J. M., D. L. Bull, A. Mota, I. Tezaur, B. M. Jones, E. M. Bristol, R. C. Choens, C. Flanary, C. A. Jones, and M. Ward Jones (2023), Development of the Arctic Coastal Erosion Model with a Demonstration at Drew Point, AK, presented at the 2023 SIAM Conference on Mathematical & Computational Issues in the Geosciences, Bergen, Norway, 19-22 June. | |
| Nole, M. A., J. M. Frederick, H. Park, and A. Barela (2023), Development and Testing of a Well Model for Performance Assessment at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), presented at the 2023 SIAM Conference on Mathematical & Computational Issues in the Geosciences, Bergen, Norway, 19-22 June. | |
| Bigler, L., M. A. Nole, J. M. Frederick, and D. Fukuyama (2023), Development and verification of a framework for coupled thermal, hydrologic, and biogeochemical modeling of Arctic permafrost, presented at the 2023 SIAM Conference on Mathematical & Computational Issues in the Geosciences, Bergen, Norway, 19-22 June. | |
| Stanciu, A. C., J. M. Frederick, M. G. Baker, R. E. Abbott, E. Conley, E. Solomon, and K. R. Jones (2023), Using Distributed Acoustic and Temperature Sensing to Characterize the Rapidly Changing Nearshore Arctic Ocean, presented at the 2023 Seismological Society of America Annual Meeting, San Juan, Puerto Rico, 17-20 April. | |
| 2022 | Frederick, J. M., D. L. Bull, A. Mota, I. Tezaur, B. M. Jones, E. M. Bristol, R. C. Choens, C. Flanary, C. A. Jones, and M. Ward Jones (2022), Calibration of the Arctic Coastal Erosion Model at Drew Point, AK, Over a Permafrost Bluff Block Collapse Event in Summer 2018, Abstract C42C-1032, presented at the 2022 Fall Meeting, AGU, Chicago, IL, 12-16 December. |
| Nole, M. A., J. M. Frederick, C. Smallwood, D. Fukuyama, L. Farquharson, D. Nicolsky, and P. Flemings (2022), Development of a Framework for Coupled Thermal, Hydrologic, and Biogeochemical Modeling to Predict Permafrost Methane Emissions, Abstract B12K-1174, presented at the 2022 Fall Meeting, AGU, Chicago, IL, 12-16 December. | |
| Frederick, J. M., M. Nole, and H. Park (2022), A Novel Next-Generation Transport Simulator for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) Performance Assessment, Paper 39246, presented at the 2022 International High-Level Waste Management Conference, American Nuclear Society, Phoenix, AZ, 13-17 November. | |
| Nole, M. A., J. M. Frederick, W. K. Eymold, W. T. Wood, B. J. Phrampus, T. R. Lee, and H. Daigle (2022), Predicting Shallow Marine Gas Occurrence Using Geospatial Machine Learning Combined with Mechanistic Subsurface Simulation, (invited keynote) presented at the 6th Sandia Machine Learning and Deep Learning (MLDL) Workshop, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, 25-28 July. | |
| Frederick, J. M., W. K. Eymold, M. A. Nole, B. M. Wagman, and T. Marchitto (2022), Space-based Observations Are Critical for Validating Maps of Arctic Marine Greenhouse Gas Emissions Predicted with Numerical Models, presented at the 16th International Circumpolar Remote Sensing Symposium, Fairbanks, AK, 16-20 May. | |
| Frederick, J. M., W. K. Eymold, M. A. Nole, B. M. Wagman, and T. Marchitto (2022), Mapping Arctic Marine Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Use as a Source Term in Global Climate and Earth System Models, (invited), presented at the European Seminar on COmputing (ESCO), Pilsen, Czech Republic, 13-17 June. | |
| 2021 | Frederick, J. M., W. K. Eymold, M. A. Nole, E. W. Conley and B. M. Wagman (2021), Quantifying the Known Unknown: Including Marine Sources of Greenhouse Gases in Climate Modeling, Abstract B45K-1763, presented at the 2021 Fall Meeting, AGU, (virtual), 13-17 December. |
| Eymold, W. K., J. M. Frederick, M. A. Nole, B. J. Phrampus and W. T. Wood (2021), Efficient Predictions of Global Free Gas and Gas Hydrate Formation Using K-means Clustering, Abstract OS25A-1003, presented at the 2021 Fall Meeting, AGU, (virtual), 13-17 December. | |
| Frederick, J. M., W. K. Eymold, A. Mota, I. Tezaur, B. M. Jones, C. Flanary, C. A. Jones, M. A. Thomas, E. M. Bristol, R. C. Choens, M. K. Ward Jones, J. Kasper, E. J. Brown, J. W. McClelland, and D. Bull (2021), Demonstration of the ACE (Arctic Coastal Erosion) model at Drew Point, AK during a permafrost bluff block collapse event in summer 2018, presented at the 2021 Regional Conference on Permafrost, (virtual), 24-29 October. | |
| A. Mota, J. M. Frederick, I. Tezaur, D. Bull (2021), A thermo-mechanical model of permafrost for the simulation of Arctic coastal erosion, presented at the 16th U.S. National Congress on Computational Mechanics (USNCCM 16), (virtual), 25-29 July. | |
| 2020 | Frederick, J. M., W. K. Eymold, M. Nole, B. J. Phrampus, W. T. Wood, and H. Daigle (2020), Probabilistic Predictions of Offshore Gas Hydrate and Submarine Permafrost Distribution Along the Alaskan North Slope, Abstract OS034-08, presented at the 2020 Fall Meeting, AGU, (virtual), 1-17 December. |
| Eymold, W. K., J. M. Frederick, M. Nole, B. J. Phrampus, and W. Wood (2020), Probabilistic Predictions of Gas Hydrate Formation near Blake Ridge using Dakota and PFLOTRAN, Abstract OS029-0002, presented at the 2020 Fall Meeting, AGU, (virtual), 1-17 December. | |
| Daigle, H., M. Broten, B. J. Phrampus, W. T. Wood, M. Nole, J. M. Frederick, and A. S. Lapari (2020), Predicting Gas and Hydrate Presence on the U.S. Atlantic Margin Using Geospatial Machine Learning, Abstract OS029-0001, presented at the 2020 Fall Meeting, AGU, (virtual), 1-17 December. | |
| Thomas, M. A., A. Mota, B. M. Jones, R. Choens, J. M. Frederick, and D. L. Bull (2020), Physics-based Simulation Can Facilitate Hypothesis Testing for Increasingly Dynamic Coastal Permafrost Systems, Abstract C001-04, presented at the 2020 Fall Meeting, AGU, (virtual), 1-17 December. | |
| D. L. Bull, J. M. Frederick, A. Mota, B. M. Jones, I. Tezaur, C. Flanary, R. Choens, M. W. Jones, W. K. Eymold, C. A. Jones, J. Kasper, E. M. Bristol, J. W. McClelland and E. P. Brown (2020), Initial Validation Results for the Arctic Coastal Erosion (ACE) Model, Abstract C001-07, presented at the 2020 Fall Meeting, AGU, (virtual), 1-17 December. | |
| Sayedi, S. S., B. Abbott, B. Thornton, J. M. Frederick, J. Vonk, P. Overduin, C. Schadel, E. Schuur, A. Bourbonnais, M. Demidov, A. Gavrilov, S. He, G. Hugelius, M. Jakobsson, M. Jones, D. Joung, G. Kraev, R. Macdonald, A. D. McGuire, C. Mu, M. O’Regan, K. Schreiner, C. Stranne, E. Pizhankova, A. Vasiliev, S. Westermann, J. P. Zarnetske, T. Zhang, M. Ghandehari, S. Baeumler, B. Brown, and R. Frei (2020), Subsea Permafrost Carbon Stocks and Climate Change Sensitivity Estimated by Expert Assessment, Abstract B027-08, presented at the 2020 Fall Meeting, AGU, (virtual), 1-17 December. | |
| Mota, A., J. M. Frederick, C. Choens, D. Bull, and I. Tezaur, (2020), Development of a strongly-coupled thermo-mechanical model of permafrost for the simulation of Arctic coastal erosion, Presented at the European Seminar on Computing (ESCO) 2020, 8-12 June. | |
| Frederick, J. M., W. K. Eymold, M. Nole, W. T. Wood, B. J. Phrampus, and H. Daigle (2020), A Probabilistic Modeling Framework for Forecasting Gas Hydrate Using Geospatial Machine Learning, Presented at the Gordon Research Conference on Natural Gas Hydrate Systems, Galveston, Texas, 24-28 February. | |
| Nole, M., W. K. Eymold, B. J. Phrampus, W. T. Wood, Frederick, J. M., and T. Lee (2020), A Hybrid Machine Learning and Reservoir Simulation Approach to Estimating Global Gas Hydrate Occurrence Using Open-Source Software, Presented at the Gordon Research Conference on Natural Gas Hydrate Systems, Galveston, Texas, 24-28 February. | |
| 2019 | Frederick, J. M., W. K. Eymold, W. T. Wood, M. Nole, B. J. Phrampus, H. Daigle, H. Yoon, and B. Young (2019), A Probabilistic Modeling Framework Utilizing Ocean Drilling Data to Forecast Current and Future Thermodynamic Conditions on and Below the Seafloor, Abstract PP11D-1421, presented at the 2019 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco CA, 9-13 December. |
| Nole, M., H. Daigle, J. M. Frederick (2019), An Open-Source Framework For Probabilistic Gas Hydrate Systems Modeling, Abstract OS41B-1665, presented at the 2019 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco CA, 9-13 December. | |
| Bull, D. L., J. M. Frederick, A. Mota, M. A. Thomas, B. M. Jones, C. A. Jones, C. Flanary, J. Kasper, R. C. Choens, E. Bristol, J. W. McClelland, S. Namachivayam (2019), Development of a Tightly Coupled Multi-Physics Numerical Model for an Event-Based Understanding of Arctic Coastal Erosion, Abstract C12B-04, presented at the 2019 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco CA, 9-13 December. | |
| Thomas, M. A., A. Mota, B. M. Jones, R. C. Choens, J. M. Frederick, and D. L. Bull (2019), Bluff Geometry and Material Variability Influence Stress States Relevant to Coastal Permafrost Bluff Failure, Abstract C13D-1339, presented at the 2019 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco CA, 9-13 December. | |
| Jones, B. M., C. E. Tweedie, M. Xiao, V. A. Alexeev, A. Baranskaya, N. Belova, E. Bristol, D. L. Bull, G. Chi, S. Dallimore, L. H. Erikson, L. M. Farquharson, C. Flanary, J. M. Frederick, M. Fuchs, A. Gibbs, J. Graybill, M. Grigoriev, G. Grosse, F. Gunther, K. E. Halvorsen, V. Isaev, A. M. Irrgang, G. Iwahana, A. M. Jensen, C. A. Jones, M. Z. Kanevskiy, J. Kasper, N. Kinsman, O. Kokin, A. Kroon, H. Lantuit, T. C. Lantz, A. K. Liljedah, R. Lubbad, C. Maio, A. Maslakov, J. W. McClelland, A. Mota, I. Nitze, A. V. Novikova, S. A. Ogorodov, J. Overbeck, P. P. Overduin, A. N. Petrov, B. M. Richmond, V. E. Romanovsky, J. C. Rowland, T. Sachs, E. Schuur, N. N. Shabanova, A. Sinitsyn, N. I. Shiklomanov, D. A. Streletskiy, M. C. Strzelecki, D. K. Swanson, and M. A. Thomas (2019), An Emerging International Network Focused on Permafrost Coastal Systems in Transition, Abstract C13D-1351, presented at the 2019 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco CA, 9-13 December. | |
| Frederick, J. M., W. K. Eymold, W. T. Wood, M. Nole, B. J. Phrampus, H. Daigle, H. Yoon, B. Young, and K. Sale (2019), Forecasting Marine Sediment Properties On and Near the Arctic Shelf with Geospatial Machine Learning, presented at the 2019 Symposium on Arctic Maritime Domain Awareness, National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency, Springfield VA, 21-22 November. | |
| 2018 | Frederick, J. M., D. L Bull, A. Mota, M. A. Thomas, B. M. Jones, C. Jones, J. Kasper, C. T. Connolly, J. W. McClelland, and J. Roberts (2018), Development of a Tightly Coupled Model for Arctic Coastal Erosion, Infrastructure Risk, and Evaluation of Associated Coastal Hazards, Abstract EP23D-2351, presented at the 2018 Fall Meeting, AGU, Washington, D.C., 10-14 December. |
| Frederick, J. M., E. R. Stein, and S. D. Sevougian (2018), Radionuclide Source Term Inter-Comparison Study: GDSA Framework and RepoTREND, presented at the Integration Group for the Safety Case (IGSC) Symposium 2018 , Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 10-11 October. | |
| Bull, D. L., J. M. Frederick, B. Jones, C. Jones, J. Kasper, A. Mota, J. Roberts, M. A. Thomas, J. McClelland, and K. Dunton (2018), Arctic Coastal Erosion: Development of a Mechanistic Model Designed for Coastal Hazards Evaluation, presented at the 2018 DoD Arctic Science & Technology Synchronization Workshop, Hanover, NH, 16-18 May. | |
| Bull, D. L., J. M. Frederick, B. Jones, C. Jones, J. Kasper, A. Mota, J. Roberts, M. A. Thomas, J. McClelland, and K. Dunton (2018), Arctic Coastal Erosion: Development of a Mechanistic Model Designed for Coastal Hazards Evaluation, presented at the 2018 International Symposium: Climate Change Effects on the World’s Oceans, Washington, D.C., 4-8 June. | |
| Stein, E. R., P. Mariner, J. M. Frederick, S. D. Sevougian, and G. E. Hammond (2018), Performance Assessment of a Generic Nuclear Waste Repository in Shale, presented at the 2018 Waste Management Symposium, Phoenix, AZ, 18-22 March. | |
| 2017 | Frederick, J. M., and G. E. Hammond (2017), Maintaining Quality and Confidence in Open-Source, Evolving Software: Lessons learned with PFLOTRAN, Abstract NS41B-0012, presented at the 2017 Fall Meeting, AGU, New Orleans, LA, 11-15 December. |
| Stein, E. R., S. D. Sevougian, P. E. Mariner, G. E. Hammond, and J. M. Frederick (2017), Performance Assessments of Generic Nuclear Waste Repositories in Shale, Abstract MR12A-07, presented at the 2017 Fall Meeting, AGU, New Orleans, LA, 11-15 December. | |
| Frederick, J. M., and G. E. Hammond (2017), Maintaining quality assurance within software evolution: Lessons learned with PFLOTRAN, Presented at the 2017 SIAM Conference on Mathematical and Computational Issues in the Geosciences, Erlangen, Germany, 11-14 September. | |
| Frederick, J. M., G. E. Hammond, P. E. Mariner, E. R. Stein, and S. D. Sevougian (2017), Modeling waste package degradation and waste form dissolution for geological repository performance assessment in PFLOTRAN, Presented at the 16th International Conference on the Chemistry and Migration Behaviour of Actinides and Fission Products in the Geosphere (MIGRATION), Barcelona, Spain, 10-15 September. | |
| Mariner, P. E., J. M. Frederick, and G.E. Hammond (2017), Radon and the PFLOTRAN Ingestion Dose Model of GDSA Framework, Presented at the 16th International Conference on the Chemistry and Migration Behaviour of Actinides and Fission Products in the Geosphere (MIGRATION), Barcelona, Spain, 10-15 September. | |
| Mariner, P. E., G. E. Hammond, and J. M. Frederick (2017), Isotope Partitioning, Decay, and Ingrowth across Multiple Phases in PFLOTRAN Code of GDSA Framework, Presented at the 16th International Conference on the Chemistry and Migration Behaviour of Actinides and Fission Products in the Geosphere (MIGRATION), Barcelona, Spain, 10-15 September. | |
| Sevougian, S. D., E. R. Stein, G. E. Hammond, P. E. Mariner, and J. M. Frederick (2017), Estimating the Effect of Fracture Connectivity on Waste Isolation Using a High-Performance Reactive Transport Simulator, PFLOTRAN, Presented at the 16th International Conference on the Chemistry and Migration Behaviour of Actinides and Fission Products in the Geosphere (MIGRATION), Barcelona, Spain, 10-15 September. | |
| Frederick, J. M., E. R. Stein, and S. D. Sevougian (2017), PFLOTRAN-RepoTREND Code Inter-comparison: Inter-comparison Plan & First PFLOTRAN Results, Presented at the 8th U.S./German Workshop on Salt Repository Research, Design, and Operation, Middelburg, The Netherlands, 5-7 September. | |
| Wei, L., A. E. Cook, A. Malinverno, H. Daigle, M. Nole, R. Andris, K. You, and Frederick, J. M. (2017), Methane migration and gas hydrate occurence in a 2.5 m sand in the Terrebonne Basin, Gulf of Mexico, Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Gas Hydrates, Denver, CO, 25-30 July. | |
| Frederick, J. M., G. E. Hammond, P. E. Mariner, E. R. Stein, and S. D. Sevougian (2017), Development of a waste form process model in PFLOTRAN, Paper 19657, Proceedings of the 16th International High-Level Waste Management Conference, American Nuclear Society, Charlotte, N.C., 9-13 April. | |
| Hammond, G. E., and J. M. Frederick (2017), Minimizing the impact of software evolution on radioactive waste management, Paper 19658, Proceedings of the 16th International High-Level Waste Management Conference, American Nuclear Society, Charlotte, N.C., 9-13 April. | |
| Stein, E. R., J. M. Frederick, G. E. Hammond, K. L. Kuhlman, P. E. Mariner, S. D. Sevougian (2017), Modeling coupled reactive flow processes in fractured crystalline rock, Paper 19665, Proceedings of the 16th International High-Level Waste Management Conference, American Nuclear Society, Charlotte, N.C., 9-13 April. | |
| 2016 | Frederick, J. M., D. L. Bull, C. Jones, J. Roberts, and M. A. Thomas (2016), Evaluating approaches to a coupled model for Arctic coastal erosion, infrastructure risk, and associated coastal hazards, Abstract EP13C-1043, presented at the 2016 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 12-16 Dec. |
| Parashar, R., T. D. Scheibe, A. Plymale, D. Hu, R. Kelly, J. M. Frederick, and X. Yang (2016), Study of transport characteristics of motile microorganisms using micro-scale devices, Abstract H51D-1512, presented at the 2016 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 12-16 Dec. | |
| Hammond, G. E., and J. M. Frederick (2016), PFLOTRAN verification: Development of a testing suite to ensure software quality, Abstract T23C-2944, presented at the 2016 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 12-16 Dec. | |
| Stein, E. R., S. D. Sevougian, G. E. Hammond, J. M. Frederick, and P. E. Mariner (2016), Performance assessment of a generic repository in bedded salt for DOE-managed nuclear waste, Abstract MR41C-2711, presented at the 2016 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 12-16 Dec. | |
| Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2016), Is submarine groundwater discharge a gas hydrate formation mechanism on the circum-Arctic shelf?, Presented at the 11th International Conference on Permafrost, Potsdam, Germany, 20-24 June. | |
| Grenier, C., H. Anbergen, V. Bense, E. Coon, N. Collier, F. Costard, M. Ferry, A. Frampton, J. Frederick, J. Holmen, A. Jost, S. Kokh, B. Kurylyk, J. McKenzie, J. Molson, L. Orgogozo, R. Pannetier, A. Riviere, N. Roux, W. Ruhaak, J. Scheidegger, J.-O. Selroos, R. Therrien, P. Vidstrand, and C. Voss (2016), The InterFrost benchmark of Thermo-Hydraulic codes for cold regions hydrology – first inter-comparison phase results, 11th International Conference on Permafrost, Potsdam, Germany, 20-24 June. | |
| Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2016), Is submarine groundwater discharge a gas hydrate formation mechanism on the circum-Arctic shelf?, Presented at the Gordon Research Conference on Natural Gas Hydrate Systems, Galveston, Texas, 28 Feb. – 4 Mar. | |
| 2015 | Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2015), Is submarine groundwater discharge a gas hydrate formation mechanism on the circum-Arctic shelf?, abstract OS23B-1995 presented at the 2015 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 14-18 Dec. |
| Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2015), Is submarine groundwater discharge a control on Arctic permafrost-associated gas hydrate formation on the Beaufort Shelf?, presented at the 7th International Conference on Arctic Margins, Trondheim, Norway, 2-5 June. | |
| Grenier, C., N. Roux, H. Anbergen, N. Collier, F. Costard, M. Ferry, A. Frampton, J. Frederick, J. Holmen, A. Jost, S. Kokh, B. Kurylyk, J. McKenzie, J. Molson, L. Orgogozo, A. Riviere, W. Ruhaak, J. Selroos, R. Therrien, and P. Vidstrand (2015), The Interfrost benchmark of Thermo-Hydraulic codes for cold regions hydrology – first inter-comparison results, presented at European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2015, Vienna, Austria, 12-17 Apr. | |
| 2014 | Frederick, J. M. & B.A. Buffett (2014), Effect of submarine groundwater discharge on submarine permafrost and Arctic gas hydrate deposits, Abstract OS12A-08, presented at 2014 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 15-19 Dec. |
| Frederick, J. M. (2014), A model for cold region hydrology, 1st InterFrost Meeting, Paris, France, 18-19 Nov. | |
| Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2014), Submarine groundwater discharge and its effects on Arctic submarine permafrost and gas hydrate deposits, presented at the 2nd Arctic in Rapid Transition (ART) Workshop: Integrating Spatial and Temporal Scales in a Changing Arctic System, Brest, France, 21-24 Oct. | |
| Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2014), Effect of submarine groundwater discharge on the present-day extent of relict subsea permafrost on the circum-Arctic continental shelf, presented at the 4th European Conference on Permafrost, Evora, Portugal, 18-21 June. | |
| *Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2014), Effect of submarine groundwater discharge on subsea permafrost and Arctic gas hydrate deposits, Presented at the Gordon Research Seminar and Conference on Natural Gas Hydrate Systems, Galveston, Texas, 22-28 March. *Selected by the organizing committee for an Outstanding Contribution from Early Career Investigators award. | |
| 2013 | Frederick, J. M. & B.A. Buffett (2013), Estimating gas escape through taliks in relict submarine permafrost and methane hydrate deposits under natural climate variation, Abstract B33K-0605 presented at 2013 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 9-13 Dec. |
| Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2013), Taliks in relict submarine permafrost and methane hydrate deposits: Pathways for gas escape under present and future conditions, Presented at the PERGAMON Final Symposium, Kiel, Germany, 5-7 Nov. | |
| 2012 | Frederick, J. M. & B.A. Buffett (2012), A Numerical Study of Pore Fluid and Gas Migration Patterns Within Arctic Shelf Sediments Associated With Relict Off-Shore Permafrost, Abstract OS43B-1803 presented at 2012 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 3-7 Dec. |
| *Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2012), Age and spatial extent of the methane source for gas hydrates due to fluid focusing in compacting marine sediments, Presented at the Gordon Research Conference on Natural Gas Hydrate Systems, Ventura, California, 18-23 March. *Selected by the organizing committee for a Best Student Poster award. | |
| 2011 | Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2011), Fluid Focusing in Compacting Marine Sediments: Implications on the Age and Spatial Extent of the Methane Source for Gas Hydrates, Abstract OS12A-05 presented at 2011 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 5-9 Dec. |
| 2010 | Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2010), Flow Focusing in Layered Ocean Sediments, Abstract OS43B-05 presented at 2010 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 13-17 Dec. |
| Buffett, B. A. & Frederick, J. M. (2010), Global Inventory of Methane Hydrate: How Large is the Threat? (Invited), Abstract B54D-01 presented at 2010 Fall Meeting, AGU, San Francisco, Calif., 13-17 Dec. | |
| Frederick, J. M. & B. A. Buffett (2010), Topography and fracture driven flow focusing in anisotropic ocean sediments, presented at the Gordon Research Conference on Natural Gas Hydrate Systems, Colby College, Waterville, Maine, 6-11 June. |
Invited Talks
| 2023 | Frederick, J. M., A. Mota, I. Tezaur, D. L. Bull (2023), Development of the Arctic Coastal Erosion Model with a Demonstration at Drew Point, AK, Invited seminar speaker, Applied Mathematics and Computation Seminars, Department of Mathematics, Oregon State University, 1 December. |
| Cook, B. K., M. Ackermann, D. L. Bull, J. M. Frederick, A. Glen, M. D. Ivey, D. Krofcheck, C. Smallwood, A. C. Stanciu, et al. (2023), Grappling with the Arctic Methane Curveball: Permafrost Modeling and Monitoring at Sandia National Laboratories, Arctic Circle Assembly, Reykjavík, Iceland, 19-21 October. | |
| Frederick, J. M. (2023), Observations of Arctic seafloor processes using distributed temperature sensing with a seafloor fiber optic cable, Invited speaker, UPMM-Sandia Engineering Speaker Series, University of Puerto Rico, March. | |
| 2022 | Frederick, J. M. (2022), The Fate of Submerged Permafrost and its Sequestered Carbon: What Role Do Arctic Marine Sources of Greenhouse Gases Play in Climate Change? Invited seminar speaker, Department of Earth & Planetary Science, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, 23 September. |
| Nole, M. A., J. M. Frederick, W. K. Eymold, W. T. Wood, B. J. Phrampus, T. R. Lee, and H. Daigle (2022), Predicting Shallow Marine Gas Occurrence Using Geospatial Machine Learning Combined with Mechanistic Subsurface Simulation, (invited keynote presented my M. Nole while J. Frederick was on military leave) presented at the 6th Sandia Machine Learning and Deep Learning (MLDL) Workshop, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, 25-28 July. | |
| Frederick, J. M., W. K. Eymold, M. A. Nole, B. M. Wagman, and T. Marchitto (2022), Mapping Arctic Marine Greenhouse Gas Emissions for Use as a Source Term in Global Climate and Earth System Models, (invited), presented at the European Seminar on COmputing (ESCO), Pilsen, Czech Republic, 13-17 June. | |
| 2021 | Frederick, J. M. (2021), History of the National Laboratory System and Sandia National Laboratory. Invited class speaker, Navigating Innovation Ecosystems (Professor Nick Dew), U.S. Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, 27 October. |
| Frederick, J. M. (2021), The Fate of Submerged Permafrost and its Sequestered Carbon: Marine Sources of Greenhouse Gases. Invited seminar speaker, Department of Energy Fugitive Emissions and Clean Air Working Groups, 25 May. | |
| Frederick, J. M., A. Mota, I. Tezaur, D. Bull (2021), Advanced modeling and simulation of Arctic coastal erosion, invited presentation (by I. Tezaur) at the Advanced Modeling & Simulation Seminar, University of Texas, El Paso, TX, 7 May. | |
| 2014 | Frederick, J. M. (2014), Methane, permafrost, and gas hydrates in the coastal Arctic: What is the role of submarine groundwater hydrology? Invited seminar speaker, Geological Sciences & Engineering, University of Nevada, Reno, 8 December. |
Interviews & Articles
| 2023 | Dix, Bryce. (2023), How scientists are using a fiber optic cable on the Arctic floor to study global warming, All Things Considered, KUNM radio broadcast, 89.9 FM, Albuquerque, NM. Published 28 Dec 2023. |
| Harvey, C. (2023), Internet cables offer an unusual view of thawing permafrost, Scientific American (from E&E News), Published 15 Dec 2023. | |
| Rappe, M. (2023), Using a fiber optic cable to study Arctic seafloor permafrost, Sandia Lab News. Published 15 Dec 2023. | |
| 2022 | Lee, J. (2022), Groundwater flow may contribute to submarine permafrost thaw, Eos, 103, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EO220244. Published on 18 May 2022. |
| 2021 | Szakal, F. D. (2021), A massive methane reservoir is lurking beneath the sea, Eos, 102, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EO157401. Published on 27 April 2021. |
| Rappe, M. (2021), Finding fire and ice: Modeling the probability of methane hydrate deposits on the seafloor, Sandia Lab News. Published on 12 March 2021. | |
| Fisher, M. N. (2021), International research team begins uncovering Arctic mystery, Sandia Lab News. Published on 29 January 2021. |