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Improved Uncertainty Quantification with Advanced Reactor Application

Mousseau, Vincent A.

This document provides an overview of the economic and technical challenges related to bringing small modular reactors to market and then presents an outline for how to address the new challenges. The purpose of this project was to proactively design software for its intended use to provide a strategic positioning for work in the future. This project seeks to augment the short-term stop-gap approach of trying to use legacy software well outside of its range of applicability.

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PRO-X Fuel Cycle Transportation and Crosscutting Progress Report

Honnold, Philip H.; Crabtree, Lauren M.; Higgins, Michael H.; Williams, Adam D.; Finch, Robert F.; Cipiti, Benjamin B.; Ammerman, Douglas J.; Farnum, Cathy O.; Kalinina, Elena A.; Ruehl, Matthew R.; Hawthorne, Krista H.

The PRO-X program is actively supporting the design of nuclear systems by developing a framework to both optimize the fuel cycle infrastructure for advanced reactors (ARs) and minimize the potential for production of weapons-usable nuclear material. Three study topics are currently being investigated by Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) with support from Argonne National Laboratories (ANL). This multi-lab collaboration is focused on three study topics which may offer proliferation resistance opportunities or advantages in the nuclear fuel cycle. These topics are: 1) Transportation Global Landscape, 2) Transportation Avoidability, and 3) Parallel Modular Systems vs Single Large System (Crosscutting Activity).

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Tearing parameter failure integration with the multilevel solver

Vignes, Chet V.; Lester, Brian T.

The tearing parameter criterion and material softening failure method currently used in the multilinear elastic-plastic constitutive model was added as an option to modular failure capabilities. The modular failure implementation was integrated with the multilevel solver for multi-element simulations. Currently, this implementation is only available to the J2 plasticity model due to the formulation of the material softening approach. The implementation compared well with multilinear elastic-plastic model results for a uniaxial tension test, a simple shear test, and a representative structural problem. Necessary generalizations of the failure method to extend it as a modular option for all plasticity models are highlighted.

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ATHENA: Analytical Tool for Heterogeneous Neuromorphic Architectures

Cardwell, Suma G.; Plagge, Mark P.; Hughes, Clayton H.; Rothganger, Fredrick R.; Agarwal, Sapan A.; Feinberg, Benjamin F.; Awad, Amro A.; mcfarland, john m.; Parker, Luke G.

The ASC program seeks to use machine learning to improve efficiencies in its stockpile stewardship mission. Moreover, there is a growing market for technologies dedicated to accelerating AI workloads. Many of these emerging architectures promise to provide savings in energy efficiency, area, and latency when compared to traditional CPUs for these types of applications — neuromorphic analog and digital technologies provide both low-power and configurable acceleration of challenging artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms. If designed into a heterogeneous system with other accelerators and conventional compute nodes, these technologies have the potential to augment the capabilities of traditional High Performance Computing (HPC) platforms [5]. This expanded computation space requires not only a new approach to physics simulation, but the ability to evaluate and analyze next-generation architectures specialized for AI/ML workloads in both traditional HPC and embedded ND applications. Developing this capability will enable ASC to understand how this hardware performs in both HPC and ND environments, improve our ability to port our applications, guide the development of computing hardware, and inform vendor interactions, leading them toward solutions that address ASC’s unique requirements.

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Ensemble approximate control variate estimators: Applications to multi-fidelity importance sampling

SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification

Pham, Trung P.; Gorodetsky, Alex A.

The recent growth in multifidelity uncertainty quantification has given rise to a large set of variance reduction techniques that leverage information from model ensembles to provide variance reduction for estimates of the statistics of a high-fidelity model. In this paper we provide two contributions: (1) we utilize an ensemble estimator to account for uncertainties in the optimal weights of approximate control variate (ACV) approaches and derive lower bounds on the number of samples required to guarantee variance reduction; and (2) we extend an existing multifidelity importance sampling (MFIS) scheme to leverage control variates. Our approach directly addresses a limitation of many multifidelity sampling strategies that require the usage of pilot samples to estimate covariances. As such we make significant progress towards both increasing the practicality of approximate control variates—for instance, by accounting for the effect of pilot samples—and using multifidelity approaches more effectively for estimating low-probability events. The numerical results indicate our hybrid MFIS-ACV estimator achieves up to 50% improvement in variance reduction over the existing state-of-the-art MFIS estimator, which had already shown an outstanding convergence rate compared to the Monte Carlo method, on several problems of computational mechanics.

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Electron dynamics in extended systems within real-time time-dependent density-functional theory

MRS communications

Kononov, Alina K.; Lee, Cheng-Wei L.; Pereira dos Santos, Tatiane P.; Robinson, Brian R.; Yao, Yifan Y.; Yao, Yi Y.; Andrade, Xavier A.; Baczewski, Andrew D.; Constantinescu, Emil C.; Correa, Alfredo C.; Kanai, Yosuke K.; Modine, N.A.; Schleife, Andre S.

Due to a beneficial balance of computational cost and accuracy, real-time time-dependent density-functional theory has emerged as a promising first-principles framework to describe electron real-time dynamics. Here we discuss recent implementations around this approach, in particular in the context of complex, extended systems. Results include an analysis of the computational cost associated with numerical propagation and when using absorbing boundary conditions. We extensively explore the shortcomings for describing electron-electron scattering in real time and compare to many-body perturbation theory. Modern improvements of the description of exchange and correlation are reviewed. In this work, we specifically focus on the Qb@ll code, which we have mainly used for these types of simulations over the last years, and we conclude by pointing to further progress needed going forward.

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Electro-Thermal Characterization of Dynamical VO2 Memristors via Local Activity Modeling

Advanced Materials

Brown, Timothy D.; Bohaichuk, Stephanie M.; Islam, Mahnaz I.; Kumar, Suhas K.; Pop, Eric P.; Williams, R.S.

We report translating the surging interest in neuromorphic electronic components, such as those based on nonlinearities near Mott transitions, into large-scale commercial deployment faces steep challenges in the current lack of means to identify and design key material parameters. These issues are exemplified by the difficulties in connecting measurable material properties to device behavior via circuit element models. Here, the principle of local activity is used to build a model of VO2/SiN Mott threshold switches by sequentially accounting for constraints from a minimal set of quasistatic and dynamic electrical and high-spatial-resolution thermal data obtained via in situ thermoreflectance mapping. By combining independent data sets for devices with varying dimensions, the model is distilled to measurable material properties, and device scaling laws are established. The model can accurately predict electrical and thermal conductivities and capacitances and locally active dynamics (especially persistent spiking self-oscillations). The systematic procedure by which this model is developed has been a missing link in predictively connecting neuromorphic device behavior with their underlying material properties, and should enable rapid screening of material candidates before employing expensive manufacturing processes and testing procedures.

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On the specificity between mapping of initial and final states of the magneto Rayleigh-Taylor instability

Lewis, William L.; Ruiz, Daniel E.; Broeren, Theodore B.

In this LDRD we investigated the application of machine learning methods to understand dimensionality reduction and evolution of the Rayleigh-Taylor instability (RTI). As part of the project, we undertook a significant literature review to understand current analytical theory and machine learning based methods to treat evolution of this instability. We note that we chose to refocus on assessing the hydrodynamic RTI as opposed to the magneto-Rayleigh-Taylor instability originally proposed. This choice enabled utilizing a wealth of analytic test cases and working with relatively fast running open-source simulations of single-mode RTI. This greatly facilitated external collaboration with URA summer fellowship student, Theodore Broeren. In this project we studied the application of methods from dynamical systems learning and traditional regression methods to recover behavior of RTI ranging from the fully nonlinear to weakly nonlinear (wNL) regimes. Here we report on two of the tested methods SINDy and a more traditional regression-based approach inspired by analytic wNL theory with which we had the most success. We conclude with a discussion of potential future extensions to this work that may improve our understanding from both theoretical and phenomenological perspectives.

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Re-establishment of Sandia National Labs super-critical carbon dioxide testing autoclave capability for exposure of metal alloys and polymers (Level 4 Milestone Report)

Menon, Nalini C.; Horton, Robert D.

The sCO2 system located in 916/160A, Sandia National Laboratories, CA, was constructed in 2014, for testing of materials in the presence of supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) at high pressures (up to 3500 psi) and temperatures (up to 650°C). The basic design of the system consists of a thermally insulated IN625 autoclave, a high-pressure supercritical CO2 compressor, autoclave heaters, temperature controllers, gas manifold, and temperature and pressure diagnostics. This system was modified in 2016 (sCO2 compressor was removed) to enable corrosion studies with metal alloys in gaseous CO2 at lower pressure (up to 300 psi) at 500°C. The capability was not used much afterwards until 2020, when preliminary tests using this capability (again without the supercritical CO2 compressor) involved the exposure of fatigue and tensile specimens of HN 230 and 800H alloys to CO2 gas for 168 hours in gaseous CO2. Using this capability, we finished experiments with low pressure (450 psi/ 3 MPa), high temperature (650°C) exposure of fatigue and tensile specimens of HN 230 and 800H alloys to CO2 gas for 168 hours. The data from these experiments will be compared to that gathered from experiments performed in 2020 using the tube furnace and presented in a future report. It is to be noted that the tube furnace experiments ran 500-1500 hours, unlike the 168 hours of exposure in the recent experiment. This can help validate the use of the sCO2 autoclave for both CO2 and sCO2 experiments.

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Microstructure-Sensitive Uncertainty Quantification for Crystal Plasticity Finite Element Constitutive Models Using Stochastic Collocation Methods

Frontiers in Materials

Tran, Anh; Wildey, Tim; Lim, Hojun L.

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a major role in verification and validation for computational engineering models and simulations, and establishes trust in the predictive capability of computational models. In the materials science and engineering context, where the process-structure-property-performance linkage is well known to be the only road mapping from manufacturing to engineering performance, numerous integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) models have been developed across a wide spectrum of length-scales and time-scales to relieve the burden of resource-intensive experiments. Within the structure-property linkage, crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) models have been widely used since they are one of a few ICME toolboxes that allows numerical predictions, providing the bridge from microstructure to materials properties and performances. Several constitutive models have been proposed in the last few decades to capture the mechanics and plasticity behavior of materials. While some UQ studies have been performed, the robustness and uncertainty of these constitutive models have not been rigorously established. In this work, we apply a stochastic collocation (SC) method, which is mathematically rigorous and has been widely used in the field of UQ, to quantify the uncertainty of three most commonly used constitutive models in CPFEM, namely phenomenological models (with and without twinning), and dislocation-density-based constitutive models, for three different types of crystal structures, namely face-centered cubic (fcc) copper (Cu), body-centered cubic (bcc) tungsten (W), and hexagonal close packing (hcp) magnesium (Mg). Our numerical results not only quantify the uncertainty of these constitutive models in stress-strain curve, but also analyze the global sensitivity of the underlying constitutive parameters with respect to the initial yield behavior, which may be helpful for robust constitutive model calibration works in the future.

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The study of local overheating and plasma formation on stainless steel z-pinch targets

Hatch, Maren W.; Awe, Thomas J.; Hutsel, Brian T.; Yu, Edmund Y.; Jauregui, Luis J.; Barrick, Erin J.; Gilmore, Mark A.

Plasma formation from intensely ohmically heated conductors is known to be highly non-uniform, as local overheating can be driven by micron-scale imperfections. Detailed understanding of plasma formation is required to predict the performance of magnetically driven physics targets and magnetically-insulated transmission lines (MITLs). Previous LDRD-supported work (projects 178661 and 200269) developed the electrothermal instability (ETI) platform, on the Mykonos facility, to gather high-resolution images of the self-emission from the non-uniform ohmic heating of z-pinch rods. Experiments studying highly inhomogeneous alloyed aluminum captured complex heating topography. To enable detailed comparison with magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulation, 99.999% pure aluminum rods in a z-pinch configuration were diamond-turned to ~10nm surface roughness and then further machined to include well-characterized micron-scale "engineered" defects (ED) on the rod's surface (T.J. Awe, et al., Phys. Plasmas 28, 072104 (2021)). In this project, the engineered defect hardware and diagnostic platform were used to study ETI evolution and non-uniform plasma formation from stainless steel targets. The experimental objective was to clearly determine what, if any, role manufacturing, preparation, or alloy differences have in encouraging nonuniform heating and plasma formation from high-current density stainless steel. Data may identify improvements that may be implemented in the fabrication/preparation of electrodes used on the Z machine. Preliminary data shows that difference in manufacturer has no observed effect on ETI evolution, stainless alloy 304L heated more uniformly than alloy 310 at similar current densities, and that stainless steel undergoes the same evolutionary ETI stages as ultra-pure aluminum, with increased emission tied to areas of elevated surface roughness.

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Unified Language Frontend for Physic-Informed AI/ML

Kelley, Brian M.; Rajamanickam, Sivasankaran R.

Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) are becoming important tools for scientific modeling and simulation as in several other fields such as image analysis and natural language processing. ML techniques can leverage the computing power available in modern systems and reduce the human effort needed to configure experiments, interpret and visualize results, draw conclusions from huge quantities of raw data, and build surrogates for physics based models. Domain scientists in fields like fluid dynamics, microelectronics and chemistry can automate many of their most difficult and repetitive tasks or improve the design times by use of the faster ML-surrogates. However, modern ML and traditional scientific highperformance computing (HPC) tend to use completely different software ecosystems. While ML frameworks like PyTorch and TensorFlow provide Python APIs, most HPC applications and libraries are written in C++. Direct interoperability between the two languages is possible but is tedious and error-prone. In this work, we show that a compiler-based approach can bridge the gap between ML frameworks and scientific software with less developer effort and better efficiency. We use the MLIR (multi-level intermediate representation) ecosystem to compile a pre-trained convolutional neural network (CNN) in PyTorch to freestanding C++ source code in the Kokkos programming model. Kokkos is a programming model widely used in HPC to write portable, shared-memory parallel code that can natively target a variety of CPU and GPU architectures. Our compiler-generated source code can be directly integrated into any Kokkosbased application with no dependencies on Python or cross-language interfaces.

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Update on the Investigation of Commercial Drying Cycles Using the Advanced Drying Cycle Simulator

Durbin, S.G.; Pulido, Ramon P.; Williams, Ronald L.; Baigas, Beau T.; Vice, Gregory T.; Koenig, Greg J.; Fasano, Raymond E.; Salazar, Alex S.

The purpose of this report is to document updates on the apparatus to simulate commercial vacuum drying procedures at the Nuclear Energy Work Complex at Sandia National Laboratories. Validation of the extent of water removal in a dry spent nuclear fuel storage system based on drying procedures used at nuclear power plants is needed to close existing technical gaps. Operational conditions leading to incomplete drying may have potential impacts on the fuel, cladding, and other components in the system during subsequent storage and disposal. A general lack of data suitable for model validation of commercial nuclear canister drying processes necessitates well-designed investigations of drying process efficacy and water retention. Scaled tests that incorporate relevant physics and well-controlled boundary conditions are essential to provide insight and guidance to the simulation of prototypic systems undergoing drying processes. This report documents a new test apparatus, the Advanced Drying Cycle Simulator (ADCS). This apparatus was built to simulate commercial drying procedures and quantify the amount of residual water remaining in a pressurized water reactor (PWR) fuel assembly after drying. The ADCS was constructed with a prototypic 17×17 PWR fuel skeleton and waterproof heater rods to simulate decay heat. These waterproof heaters are the next generation design to heater rods developed and tested at Sandia National Laboratories in FY20. This report describes the ADCS vessel build that was completed late in FY22, including the receipt of the prototypic length waterproof heater rods and construction of the fuel basket and the pressure vessel components. In addition, installations of thermocouples, emissivity coupons, pressure and vacuum lines, pressure transducers, and electrical connections were completed. Preliminary power functionality testing was conducted to demonstrate the capabilities of the ADCS. In FY23, a test plan for the ADCS will be developed to implement a drying procedure based on measurements from the process used for the High Burnup Demonstration Project. While applying power to the simulated fuel rods, this procedure is expected to consist of filling the ADCS vessel with water, draining the water with applied pressure and multiple helium blowdowns, evacuating additional water with a vacuum drying sequence at successively lower pressures, and backfilling the vessel with helium. Additional investigations are expected to feature failed fuel rod simulators with engineered cladding defects and guide tubes with obstructed dashpots to challenge the drying system with multiple water retention sites.

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Modeling Solution Drying by Moving a Liquid-Vapor Interface: Method and Applications

Polymers

Tang, Yanfei T.; McLaugahan, John E.; Grest, Gary S.; cheng, shengfeng c.

A method of simulating the drying process of a soft matter solution with an implicit solvent model by moving the liquid-vapor interface is applied to various solution films and droplets. For a solution of a polymer and nanoparticles, we observe “polymer-on-top” stratification, similar to that found previously with an explicit solvent model. Furthermore, “polymer-on-top” is found even when the nanoparticle size is smaller than the radius of gyration of the polymer chains. For a suspension droplet of a bidisperse mixture of nanoparticles, we show that core-shell clusters of nanoparticles can be obtained via the “small-on-outside” stratification mechanism at fast evaporation rates. “Large-on-outside” stratification and uniform particle distribution are also observed when the evaporation rate is reduced. Polymeric particles with various morphologies, including Janus spheres, core-shell particles, and patchy particles, are produced from drying droplets of polymer solutions by combining fast evaporation with a controlled interaction between the polymers and the liquid-vapor interface. Our results validate the applicability of the moving interface method to a wide range of drying systems. The limitations of the method are pointed out and cautions are provided to potential practitioners on cases where the method might fail.

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Carbon Capture in Novel Porous Liquids

Rimsza, Jessica R.; Nenoff, T.M.; Christian, Matthew S.; Hurlock, Matthew H.

Direct air capture (DAC) of CO2 is one of the negative emission technologies under development to limit the impacts of climate change. The dilute concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere (~400 ppm) requires new materials for carbon capture with increased CO2 selectivity that is not met with current materials. Porous liquids (PLs) are an emerging material that consist of a combination of solvents and porous hosts creating a liquid with permanent porosity. PLs have demonstrated excellent CO2 selectivity, but the features that control how and why PLs selectively capture CO2 is unknown. To elucidate these mechanisms, density functional theory (DFT) simulations were used to investigate two different PLs. The first is a ZIF-8 porous host in a water/glycol/2-methylimidazole solvent. The second is the CC13 porous organic cage with multiple bulky solvents. DFT simulations identified that in both systems, CO2 preferentially bound in the pore window rather than in the internal pore space, identifying that the solvent-porous host interface controls the CO2 selectivity. Additionally, SNL synthesized ZIF-8 based PL compositions. Evaluation of the long-term stability of the PL identified no change in the ZIF-8 crystallinity after multiple agitation cycles, identifying its potential for use in carbon capture systems. Through this project, SNL has developed a fundamental understanding of solvent-host interactions, as well as how and where CO2 binds in PLs. Through these results, future efforts will focus not on how CO2 behaves inside the pore, but on the porous host-solvent interface as the driving force for PL stability and CO2 selectivity.

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2021 Annual Site Environmental Report for Sandia National Laboratories, New Mexico

Evelo, Stacie E.

Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration. The National Nuclear Security Administration’s Sandia Field Office administers the contract and oversees contractor operations at Sandia National Laboratories, New Mexico. Activities at the site support research and development programs with a wide variety of national security missions, resulting in technologies for nonproliferation, homeland security, energy and infrastructure, and defense systems and assessments.

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2021 Annual Site Environmental Report for Sandia National Laboratories, Kauai Test Facility, Hawaii

Evelo, Stacie E.

Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration. The National Nuclear Security Administration’s Sandia Field Office administers the contract and oversees contractor operations at Sandia National Laboratories, Kaua‘i Test Facility in Hawai‘i. Activities at the site are conducted in support of U.S. Department of Energy weapons programs, and the site has operated as a rocket preparation launching and tracking facility since 1962.

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2021 Annual Site Environmental Report for Sandia National Laboratories, Tonopah Test Range, Nevada

Evelo, Stacie E.

Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration. The National Nuclear Security Administration’s Sandia Field Office administers the contract and oversees contractor operations at Sandia National Laboratories, Tonopah Test Range. Activities at the site are conducted in support of U.S. Department of Energy weapons programs and have operated at the site since 1957.

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Fine Pitch Bonding for High Density Interconnects

Hirabayashi, Mieko H.; Jordan, Matthew J.; Hollowell, Andrew E.; Wiwi, Michael W.; Herrera, Sergio A.

CTE (coefficient of thermal expansion) mismatch between two wafers has potential for brittle failure when large areas are bonded on top of one another (wafer to wafer or wafer to die bonds). To address this type of failure, we proposed patterning a polymer around metallic interconnects. For this project, utilized benzo cyclobutene (BCB) to form the bond and accommodate stress. For the metal interconnects, we used indium. To determine the benefits of utilizing BCB, mechanical shear testing of die bonding with just BCB were compared to die bonded just with oxide. These tests demonstrated that BCB, when cured for only 30 minutes and bonded at 200°C, the BCB was able to withstand shear forces similar to oxide. Furthermore, when the BCB did fail, it experienced a more ductile failure, allowing the silicon to crack, rather than shatter. To demonstrate the feasibility of using BCB between indium interconnects, wafers were pattered with layers of BCB with vias for indium or ENEPIG (electroless nickel, electroless palladium, immersion gold). Subsequently, these wafers were pattered with a variety of indium or ENEPIG interconnect pitches, diameters, and heights. These dies were bonded under a variety of conditions, and those that held a bond, were cross-sectioned and imaged. Images revealed that certain bonding conditions allow for interconnects and BCB to achieve a void-less bond and thus demonstrate that utilizing polymers in place of oxide is a feasible way to reduce CTE stress.

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Runtime Systems for Energy Efficiency in Advanced Computing Systems

Madsen, Curtis M.; Ma, Tian J.; Mukherjee, Dipayan M.; Agha, Gul A.

As heterogeneous systems become increasingly popular for both mobile and high-performance computing, conventional efficiency techniques such as dynamic voltage and frequency scaling (DVFS) fail to account for the tightly coupled and varied nature of systems on a chip (SoCs). In this work, we explore the impact of system unaware DVFS techniques on a mobile SoC under three benchmark suites: Chai, Rodinia, and Antutu. We then analyze performance trends across the suites to identify a set of consistent operating points that optimally balance power and performance across the system. The consistent operating points are then constructed into a dependency graph which can be leveraged to produce a more effective, SoC-wide governor.

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Sandia Cooler

Truyol, Sabine O.

Air-cooled heat exchangers are used to reject excess heat from a concentrated source to the surrounding atmosphere for a variety of mechanical and electrical systems. Advancements in heat exchanger design have been very limited in recent years for most product applications. In support of heat exchanger advancement, Sandia developed the Sandia Cooler.

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Lossless Quantum Hard-Drive Memory Using Parity-Time Symmetry

Chatterjee, Eric N.; Soh, Daniel B.; Young, Steve M.

We theoretically studied the feasibility of building a long-term read-write quantum memory using the principle of parity-time (PT) symmetry, which has already been demonstrated for classical systems. The design consisted of a two-resonator system. Although both resonators would feature intrinsic loss, the goal was to apply a driving signal to one of the resonators such that it would become an amplifying subsystem, with a gain rate equal and opposite to the loss rate of the lossy resonator. Consequently, the loss and gain probabilities in the overall system would cancel out, yielding a closed quantum system. Upon performing detailed calculations on the impact of a driving signal on a lossy resonator, our results demonstrated that an amplifying resonator is physically unfeasible, thus forestalling the possibility of PT-symmetric quantum storage. Our finding serves to significantly narrow down future research into designing a viable quantum hard drive.

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Mathematical Foundations for Nonlocal Interface Problems: Multiscale Simulations of Heterogeneous Materials (Final LDRD Report)

D'Elia, Marta D.; Bochev, Pavel B.; Foster, John E.; Glusa, Christian A.; Gulian, Mamikon G.; Gunzburger, Max G.; Trageser, Jeremy T.; Kuhlman, Kristopher L.; Martinez, Mario A.; Najm, H.N.; Silling, Stewart A.; Tupek, Michael T.; Xu, Xiao X.

Nonlocal models provide a much-needed predictive capability for important Sandia mission applications, ranging from fracture mechanics for nuclear components to subsurface flow for nuclear waste disposal, where traditional partial differential equations (PDEs) models fail to capture effects due to long-range forces at the microscale and mesoscale. However, utilization of this capability is seriously compromised by the lack of a rigorous nonlocal interface theory, required for both application and efficient solution of nonlocal models. To unlock the full potential of nonlocal modeling we developed a mathematically rigorous and physically consistent interface theory and demonstrate its scope in mission-relevant exemplar problems.

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Deep learning-based spatio-temporal estimate of greenhouse gas emissions using satellite data

Yoon, Hongkyu Y.; Kadeethum, T.; Ringer, Robert J.; Harris, Trevor H.

Accurate estimation of greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions is very important for developing mitigation strategies to climate change by controlling and reducing GHG emissions. This project aims to develop multiple deep learning approaches to estimate anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions using multiple types of satellite data. NO2 concentration is chosen as an example of GHGs to evaluate the proposed approach. Two sentinel satellites (sentinel-2 and sentinel-5P) provide multiscale observations of GHGs from 10-60m resolution (sentinel-2) to ~kilometer scale resolution (sentinel-5P). Among multiple deep learning (DL) architectures evaluated, two best DL models demonstrate that key features of spatio-temporal satellite data and additional information (e.g., observation times and/or coordinates of ground stations) can be extracted using convolutional neural networks and feed forward neural networks, respectively. In particular, irregular time series data from different NO2 observation stations limit the flexibility of long short-term memory architecture, requiring zero-padding to fill in missing data. However, deep neural operator (DNO) architecture can stack time-series data as input, providing the flexibility of input structure without zero-padding. As a result, the DNO outperformed other deep learning architectures to account for time-varying features. Overall, temporal patterns with smooth seasonal variations were predicted very well, while frequent fluctuation patterns were not predicted well. In addition, uncertainty quantification using conformal inference method is performed to account for prediction ranges. Overall, this research will lead to a new groundwork for estimating greenhouse gas concentrations using multiple satellite data to enhance our capability of tracking the cause of climate change and developing mitigation strategies.

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Results 176–200 of 80,958
Results 176–200 of 80,958