Publications
Elements of a Physical Protection System
Abstract not provided.
Brazil PCG Meeting
Abstract not provided.
Generic INFCIRC 225 Revision 5 Workshop Options
Abstract not provided.
Contingency Planning
Abstract not provided.
Vulnerability Analysis
Abstract not provided.
Infrastructure Development: Initiating a Physical Protection Program Training Course
Abstract not provided.
Infrastructure Development: Intitiating a Physical Protection Program
Abstract not provided.
Capturing the uncertainty in adversary attack simulations
This work provides a comprehensive uncertainty technique to evaluate uncertainty, resulting in a more realistic evaluation of PI, thereby requiring fewer resources to address scenarios and allowing resources to be used across more scenarios. For a given set of dversary resources, two types of uncertainty are associated with PI for a scenario: (1) aleatory (random) uncertainty for detection probabilities and time delays and (2) epistemic (state of knowledge) uncertainty for the adversary resources applied during an attack. Adversary esources consist of attributes (such as equipment and training) and knowledge about the security system; to date, most evaluations have assumed an adversary with very high resources, adding to the conservatism in the evaluation of PI. The aleatory uncertainty in PI is ddressed by assigning probability distributions to detection probabilities and time delays. A numerical sampling technique is used to evaluate PI, addressing the repeated variable dependence in the equation for PI.
9 Results