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Clinical Features of and Risk Factors for Fatal Ebola Virus Disease, Moyamba District, Sierra Leone, December 2014–February 2015

Emerging Infectious Diseases

Austin, Paula A.

The current outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in West Africa has infected more than 28,000 people, killed more than 11,000 and disrupted social life. We studied retrospectively the clinical presentation and risk factors for fatal outcome among the 31 Ebola virus (EBV) positive patients admitted to the Ebola Treatment Center (ETC) in Moyamba District, Sierra Leone. We found a higher rate of bleeding manifestations than reported elsewhere during the current outbreak. Significant predictors for fatal outcome were shorter time from onset to admission, male sex, high viral load on initial lab test, severe pain, diarrhea, bloody stools, and development of other bleeding manifestations during hospital admission. Awareness of risk factors for fatal outcome could be used to identify patients in need of more intensive medical support. The lack of fever in as much as a third of EVD cases may have implications for temperature screening practices and case definitions.

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TYPE Journal Article YEAR 2016
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Clinical features and risk factors for adverse outcome in Ebola virus disease in Moyamba District Sierra Leone

Sandia journal manuscript; Not yet accepted for publication

Austin, Paula A.

BACKGROUND The current outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in West Africa has attacked 24000 people, killed more than 10000 and disrupted social life. METHODS We studied retrospectively the clinical presentation and risk factors for fatal outcome in EVD among all patients admitted to the Ebola Treatment Center in Moyamba District, Sierra Leone. RESULTS Among a total of 88 admitted patients, eighty-two were tested by PCR and 31 (38%) were positive for Ebola virus. Ninety percent reported previous contact with EVD patients and 35% had participated in burials of EVD suspect deceased. No healthworkers were admitted. The most common symptoms on admission were weakness (97%), diarrhea (68%), fever (62%), loss of appetite (62%), vomiting (58%), pain in muscles (62%) and joints (55%), headache (55%), abdominal pain (45%) and conjunctivitis (42%). On admission, bleeding was present in one-third (11/31), while more than half (17/31) bled during the hospital stay. Fifty-eight percent (18/31) died, most within 4-11 days of onset. Significant predictors for fatal outcome were shorter time from onset to admission (P=0.02), high initial viral load (P<0.001), bleeding (P=0.004), and severe pain (P=0.001). The only two patients with hiccups died. CONCLUSIONS Bleeding was more common in our cohort than reported elsewhere during this epidemic, and predicted poor prognosis. Severe pain was common, particularly in fatal cases, and calls for improved and safe palliation, for instance with transdermal opiates. The lack of fever in one third of EBV cases may have implications for screening procedures and case definitions.

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TYPE Journal Article YEAR 2016
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29 Results
29 Results