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GDSA Framework Development and Process Model Integration FY2022

Mariner, Paul M.; Debusschere, Bert D.; Fukuyama, David E.; Harvey, Jacob H.; LaForce, Tara; Leone, Rosemary C.; Perry, Frank V.; Swiler, Laura P.; TACONI, ANNA M.

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Spent Fuel & Waste Disposition (SFWD) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). A high priority for SFWST disposal R&D is disposal system modeling (Sassani et al. 2021). The SFWST Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) work package is charged with developing a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for evaluating generic disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. This report describes fiscal year (FY) 2022 advances of the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) performance assessment (PA) development groups of the SFWST Campaign. The common mission of these groups is to develop a geologic disposal system modeling capability for nuclear waste that can be used to assess probabilistically the performance of generic disposal options and generic sites. The modeling capability under development is called GDSA Framework (pa.sandia.gov). GDSA Framework is a coordinated set of codes and databases designed for probabilistically simulating the release and transport of disposed radionuclides from a repository to the biosphere for post-closure performance assessment. Primary components of GDSA Framework include PFLOTRAN to simulate the major features, events, and processes (FEPs) over time, Dakota to propagate uncertainty and analyze sensitivities, meshing codes to define the domain, and various other software for rendering properties, processing data, and visualizing results.

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Sensitivity analysis of generic deep geologic repository with focus on spatial heterogeneity induced by stochastic fracture network generation

Advances in Water Resources

Brooks, Dusty M.; Swiler, Laura P.; Stein, Emily S.; Mariner, Paul M.; Basurto, Eduardo B.; Portone, Teresa P.; Eckert, Aubrey C.; Leone, Rosemary C.

Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment Framework is a state-of-the-art simulation software toolkit for probabilistic post-closure performance assessment of systems for deep geologic disposal of nuclear waste developed by the United States Department of Energy. This paper presents a generic reference case and shows how it is being used to develop and demonstrate performance assessment methods within the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment Framework that mitigate some of the challenges posed by high uncertainty and limited computational resources. Variance-based global sensitivity analysis is applied to assess the effects of spatial heterogeneity using graph-based summary measures for scalar and time-varying quantities of interest. Behavior of the system with respect to spatial heterogeneity is further investigated using ratios of water fluxes. This analysis shows that spatial heterogeneity is a dominant uncertainty in predictions of repository performance which can be identified in global sensitivity analysis using proxy variables derived from graph descriptions of discrete fracture networks. New quantities of interest defined using water fluxes proved useful for better understanding overall system behavior.

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Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in the GDSA Framework (FY2022)

Swiler, Laura P.; Basurto, Eduardo B.; Brooks, Dusty M.; Eckert, Aubrey C.; Leone, Rosemary C.; Mariner, Paul M.; Portone, Teresa P.; Smith, Mariah L.

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Fuel Cycle Technology (FCT) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). Two high priorities for SFWST disposal R&D are design concept development and disposal system modeling. These priorities are directly addressed in the SFWST Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) control account, which is charged with developing a geologic repository system modeling and analysis capability, and the associated software, GDSA Framework, for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. GDSA Framework is supported by SFWST Campaign and its predecessor the Used Fuel Disposition (UFD) campaign.

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PFLOTRAN Development FY2022

Nole, Michael A.; Beskardes, G.D.; Fukuyama, David E.; Leone, Rosemary C.; Mariner, Paul M.; Park, Heeho D.; Paul, Matthew J.; Salazar, Alex S.; Hammond, Glenn H.; Lichtner, Peter L.

The Spent Fuel & Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Spent Fuel & Waste Disposition (SFWD) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). A high priority for SFWST disposal R&D is to develop a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. This report describes fiscal year (FY) 2022 accomplishments by the PFLOTRAN Development group of the SFWST Campaign. The mission of this group is to develop a geologic disposal system modeling capability for nuclear waste that can be used to probabilistically assess the performance of generic disposal concepts. In FY 2022, the PFLOTRAN development team made several advancements to our software infrastructure, code performance, and process modeling capabilities.

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Results of Re-evaluation of FEPs Related to Implementing the ABD Glass Program

Price, Laura L.; Alsaed, Halim A.; Prouty, Jeralyn L.; Rogers, Ralph D.; Ebert, William E.; Hadgu, Teklu H.; Mariner, Paul M.

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GDSA Framework Development and Process Model Integration FY2021

Mariner, Paul M.; Berg, Timothy M.; Debusschere, Bert D.; Eckert, Aubrey C.; Harvey, Jacob H.; LaForce, Tara; Leone, Rosemary C.; Mills, Melissa M.; Nole, Michael A.; Park, Heeho D.; Perry, F.V.; Seidl, Daniel T.; Swiler, Laura P.; Chang, Kyung W.

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Spent Fuel & Waste Disposition (SFWD) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and highlevel nuclear waste (HLW). A high priority for SFWST disposal R&D is disposal system modeling (DOE 2012, Table 6; Sevougian et al. 2019). The SFWST Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) work package is charged with developing a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for evaluating generic disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media.

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Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in the GDSA Framework (FY2021)

Swiler, Laura P.; Basurto, Eduardo B.; Brooks, Dusty M.; Eckert, Aubrey C.; Leone, Rosemary C.; Mariner, Paul M.; Portone, Teresa P.; Smith, Mariah L.; Stein, Emily S.

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Fuel Cycle Technology (FCT) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). Two high priorities for SFWST disposal R&D are design concept development and disposal system modeling. These priorities are directly addressed in the SFWST Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) control account, which is charged with developing a geologic repository system modeling and analysis capability, and the associated software, GDSA Framework, for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. GDSA Framework is supported by SFWST Campaign and its predecessor the Used Fuel Disposition (UFD) campaign. This report fulfills the GDSA Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods work package (SF-21SN01030404) level 3 milestone, Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis Methods and Applications in GDSA Framework (FY2021) (M3SF-21SN010304042). It presents high level objectives and strategy for development of uncertainty and sensitivity analysis tools, demonstrates uncertainty quantification (UQ) and sensitivity analysis (SA) tools in GDSA Framework in FY21, and describes additional UQ/SA tools whose future implementation would enhance the UQ/SA capability of GDSA Framework. This work was closely coordinated with the other Sandia National Laboratory GDSA work packages: the GDSA Framework Development work package (SF-21SN01030405), the GDSA Repository Systems Analysis work package (SF-21SN01030406), and the GDSA PFLOTRAN Development work package (SF-21SN01030407). This report builds on developments reported in previous GDSA Framework milestones, particularly M3SF 20SN010304032.

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Progress in Deep Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment in the U.S. since 2010

Mariner, Paul M.; Connolly, Laura A.; Cunningham, Leigh C.; Debusschere, Bert D.; Dobson, David C.; Frederick, Jennifer M.; Hammond, Glenn E.; Jordan, Spencer H.; LaForce, Tara; Nole, Michael A.; Park, Heeho D.; Perry, Frank V.; Rogers, Ralph D.; Seidl, Daniel T.; Sevougian, Stephen D.; Stein, Emily S.; Swift, Peter N.; Swiler, Laura P.; Vo, Jonathan V.; Wallace, Michael G.

Abstract not provided.

DOE SFWST Campaign R&D Roadmap Update Rev.1

Sevougian, Stephen D.; Mariner, Paul M.; Connolly, Laura A.; MacKinnon, Robert J.; Rogers, Ralph D.; Dobson, David C.; Prouty, Jeralyn L.

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Departmentof Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Spent Fuel and Waste Disposition(SFWD) is conducting research and development (R&D) on deep geologic disposal of spentnuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). R&D addressing the disposal ofSNF/HLW in the U.S. is currently generic (i.e., "non-site-specific") in scope, following thesuspension of the Yucca Mountain Repository Project in 2010. However, to prepare for theeventuality of a repository siting process, the former Used Fuel Disposition Campaign (UFDC) ofDOE-NE, which was succeeded by the SFWST Campaign, formulated an R&D Roadmap in 2012outlining generic R&D activities and their priorities appropriate for developing safety cases andassociated performance assessment (PA) models for generic deep geologic repositories in severalpotential host-rock environments in the contiguous United States. This 2012 UFDC Roadmap alsoidentified the importance of re-evaluating priorities in future years as knowledge is gained fromthe DOE's ongoing R&D activities.

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Re-evaluation of U.S. DOE R&D efforts for generic deep geologic repositories - Roadmap update

International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management 2019, IHLRWM 2019

Sevougian, S.D.; Hammond, Glenn E.; Mariner, Paul M.; MacKinnon, R.J.; Swift, Peter N.; Rogers, R.D.; Dobson, D.C.; Tynan, M.C.

R&D addressing the disposal of commercial spent nuclear fuel in the U.S. is currently generic (i.e., “non-site-specific”) in scope. However, to prepare for the eventuality of a repository siting process, the former Used Fuel Disposition (UFD) Campaign of the Nuclear Energy (NE) Office of the U.S. DOE formulated an R&D Roadmap in 2012 outlining generic R&D activities and their priorities appropriate for developing safety cases and associated performance assessment (PA) models for deep geologic repositories in several potential host-rock environments in the contiguous United States. This 2012 UFD Roadmap identified the importance of re-evaluating priorities in future years as knowledge is gained from the DOE's ongoing R&D activities. Since 2012, significant knowledge has been gained from these activities through R&D in the U.S. and via international collaborations, especially with countries that operate underground research laboratories (URLs). The 2019 R&D Roadmap Update, introduced here, summarizes the progress of ongoing R&D activities, re-assesses R&D priorities, and identifies new activities of high priority, such as R&D on disposal of DPCs (dual purpose canisters), which now contain a significant fraction of the Nation's spent fuel activity.

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High fidelity surrogate modeling of fuel dissolution for probabilistic assessment of repository performance

International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management 2019, IHLRWM 2019

Mariner, Paul M.; Swiler, Laura P.; Seidl, Daniel T.; Debusschere, Bert J.; Vo, Jonathan; Frederick, Jennifer M.; Jerden, James L.

Two surrogate models are under development to rapidly emulate the effects of the Fuel Matrix Degradation (FMD) model in GDSA Framework. One is a polynomial regression surrogate with linear and quadratic fits, and the other is a k-Nearest Neighbors regressor (kNNr) method that operates on a lookup table. Direct coupling of the FMD model to GDSA Framework is too computationally expensive. Preliminary results indicate these surrogate models will enable GDSA Framework to rapidly simulate spent fuel dissolution for each individual breached spent fuel waste package in a probabilistic repository simulation. This capability will allow uncertainties in spent fuel dissolution to be propagated and sensitivities in FMD inputs to be quantified and ranked against other inputs.

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Advances in Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment and an Unsaturated Alluvium Reference Case

Mariner, Paul M.; Stein, Emily S.; Cunningham, Leigh C.; Frederick, Jennifer M.; Hammond, Glenn E.; Lowry, Thomas S.; Basurto, Eduardo B.

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Depat ment of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Fuel Cycle Technology (OFCT) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high level nuclear waste (HLW). Two high priorities for SFWST disposal R&D are design concept development and disposal system modeling (DOE 2011, Table 6). These priorities are directly addressed in the SFWST Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) work package, which is charged with developing a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. This report describes specific GDSA activities in fiscal year 2018 (FY 2018) toward the development of GDSA Framework, an enhanced disposal system modeling and analysis capability for geologic disposal of nuclear waste. GDSA Framework employs the PFLOTRAN thermal-hydrologic-chemical multiphysics code (Hammond et al. 2011a; Lichtner and Hammond 2012) and the Dakota uncertainty sampling and propagation code (Adams et al. 2012; Adams et al. 2013). Each code is designed for massivelyparallel processing in a high-performance computing (HPC) environment. Multi-physics representations in PFLOTRAN are used to simulate various coupled processes including heat flow, fluid flow, waste dissolution, radionuclide release, radionuclide decay and ingrowth, precipitation and dissolution of secondary phases, and radionuclide transport through engineered barriers and natural geologic barriers to the biosphere. Dakota is used to generate sets of representative realizations and to analyze parameter sensitivity.

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US Sections Prepared for Future NEA Crystalline Club (CRC) Report on Status of R&D in CRC Countries Investigating Deep Geologic Disposal in Crystalline Rock

Mariner, Paul M.; Stein, Emily S.; Kalinina, Elena A.; Hadgu, Teklu H.; Jove Colon, Carlos F.; Basurto, Eduardo B.

U.S. knowledge in deep geologic disposal in crystalline rock is advanced and growing. U.S. status and recent advances related to crystalline rock are discussed throughout this report. Brief discussions of the history of U.S. disposal R&D and the accumulating U.S. waste inventory are presented in Sections 3.x.2 and 3.x.3. The U.S. repository concept for crystalline rock is presented in Section 3.x.4. In Chapters 4 and 5, relevant U.S. research related to site characterization and repository safety functions are discussed. U.S. capabilities for modelling fractured crystalline rock and performing probabilistic total system performance assessments are presented in Chapter 6.

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Advances in Geologic Disposal System Modeling and Shale Reference Cases

Mariner, Paul M.; Stein, Emily S.; Frederick, Jennifer M.; Sevougian, Stephen D.; Hammond, Glenn E.

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Fuel Cycle Technology (OFCT) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high level nuclear waste (HLW). Two high priorities for SFWST disposal R&D are design concept development and disposal system modeling (DOE 2011, Table 6). These priorities are directly addressed in the SFWST Generic Disposal Systems Analysis (GDSA) work package, which is charged with developing a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media (e.g., salt, granite, shale, and deep borehole disposal).

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Inventory and Waste Characterization Status Report

Sassani, David C.; Price, Laura L.; Rechard, Robert P.; Rogers, Ralph D.; Walkow, Walter M.; Johnson, Ava J.; Sanchez, Amanda C.; Mariner, Paul M.; Rigali, Mark J.; Stein, Emily S.; Weck, Philippe F.

This report provides an update to Sassani et al. (2016) and includes: (1) an updated set of inputs (Sections 2.3) on various additional waste forms (WF) covering both DOE-managed spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and DOE-managed (as) high-level waste (HLW) for use in the inventory represented in the geologic disposal safety analyses (GDSA); (2) summaries of evaluations initiated to refine specific characteristics of particular WF for future use (Section 2.4); (3) updated development status of the Online Waste Library (OWL) database (Section 3.1.2) and an updated user guide to OWL (Section 3.1.3); and (4) status updates (Section 3.2) for the OWL inventory content, data entry checking process, and external OWL BETA testing initiated in fiscal year 2017.

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xLPR Scenario Analysis Report

Eckert, Aubrey C.; Lewis, John R.; Brooks, Dusty M.; Martin, Nevin S.; Hund, Lauren H.; Clark, Andrew; Mariner, Paul M.

This report describes the methods, results, and conclusions of the analysis of 11 scenarios defined to exercise various options available in the xLPR (Extremely Low Probability of Rupture) Version 2 .0 code. The scope of the scenario analysis is three - fold: (i) exercise the various options and components comprising xLPR v2.0 and defining each scenario; (ii) develop and exercise methods for analyzing and interpreting xLPR v2.0 outputs ; and (iii) exercise the various sampling options available in xLPR v2.0. The simulation workflow template developed during the course of this effort helps to form a basis for the application of the xLPR code to problems with similar inputs and probabilistic requirements and address in a systematic manner the three points covered by the scope.

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xLPR Sim Editor 1.0 User's Guide

Mariner, Paul M.

The United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission in cooperation with the Electric Power Research Institute contracted Sandia National Laboratories to develop the framework of a probabilistic fracture mechanics assessment code called xLPR ( Extremely Low Probability of Rupture) Version 2.0 . The purpose of xLPR is to evaluate degradation mechanisms in piping systems at nuclear power plants and to predict the probability of rupture. This report is a user's guide for xLPR Sim Editor 1.0 , a graphical user interface for creating and editing the xLPR Version 2.0 input file and for creating, editing, and using the xLPR Version 2.0 database files . The xLPR Sim Editor, provides a user - friendly way for users to change simulation options and input values, s elect input datasets from xLPR data bases, identify inputs needed for a simulation, and create and modify an input file for xLPR.

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Development of a waste form process model in PFLOTRAN

ANS IHLRWM 2017 - 16th International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Conference: Creating a Safe and Secure Energy Future for Generations to Come - Driving Toward Long-Term Storage and Disposal

Frederick, Jennifer M.; Hammond, Glenn E.; Mariner, Paul M.; Stein, Emily S.; Sevougian, S.D.

An important feature required in all geological disposal system modeling is proper representation of waste package degradation and waste form dissolution. These processes are often treated as batch operations, meaning they are zero-dimensional. However, waste package canister degradation or waste form dissolution are affected by near-field conditions, and thus they must be coupled to the computational domain through the exchange of information on local conditions. Accurate waste package and waste form degradation behavior is essential because processes occurring at the batch level also affect far field conditions through heat and mass transport by advection or diffusion. Presented here is the development and performance of the Waste Form Process Model, an integrated module for waste package canister degradation and waste form dissolution developed by Sandia National Laboratories within PFLOTRAN. PFLOTRAN is an open source, massively parallel subsurface simulator for multiphase, multicomponent, and multiscale reactive flow and transport processes in porous media. PFLOTRAN is used to model geologic disposal systems for the Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign under the Spent Fuel and Waste Disposition Program of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy.

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Modeling coupled reactive flow processes in fractured crystalline rock

ANS IHLRWM 2017 - 16th International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Conference: Creating a Safe and Secure Energy Future for Generations to Come - Driving Toward Long-Term Storage and Disposal

Stein, Emily S.; Frederick, Jennifer M.; Hammond, Glenn E.; Kuhlman, Kristopher L.; Mariner, Paul M.; Sevougian, S.D.

Numerical simulation of a repository for heatgenerating nuclear waste in fractured crystalline rock requires a method for simulating coupled heat and fluid flow and reactive radionuclide transport in both porous media (bentonite buffer, surface sediments) and fractured rock (the repository host rock). Discrete fracture networks (DFNs), networks of two-dimensional planes distributed in a three-dimensional domain, are commonly used to simulate isothermal fluid flow and particle transport in fractures, but unless coupled to a continuum, are incapable of simulating heat conduction through the rock matrix, and therefore incapable of capturing the effects of thermally driven fluid fluxes or of coupling chemical processes to thermal processes. We present a method for mapping a stochastically generated DFN to a porous medium domain that allows representation of porous and fractured media in the same domain, captures the behavior of radionuclide transport in fractured rock, and allows simulation of coupled heat and fluid flow including heat conduction through the matrix of the fractured rock. We apply the method within Sandia's Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) framework to conduct a post-closure performance assessment (PA) of a generic repository for commercial spent nuclear fuel in crystalline rock. The three-dimensional, kilometer-scale model domain contains approximately 4.5 million grid cells; grid refinement captures the detail of 3, 360 individual waste packages in 42 disposal drifts. Coupled heat and fluid flow and reactive transport are solved numerically with PFLOTRAN, a massively parallel multiphase flow and reactive transport code. Simulations of multiple fracture realizations were run to 1 million years, and indicate that, because of the channeled nature of fracture flow, thermally-driven fluid fluxes associated with peak repository temperatures may be a primary means of radionuclide transport out of the saturated repository. The channeled nature of fracture flow gives rise to unique challenges in uncertainty and sensitivity quantification, as radionuclide concentrations at any given location outside the repository depend heavily on the distribution of fractures in the domain.

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Revisiting the WIPP humic colloid model for tetravalent actinides

ANS IHLRWM 2017 - 16th International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Conference: Creating a Safe and Secure Energy Future for Generations to Come - Driving Toward Long-Term Storage and Disposal

Mariner, Paul M.

Humic complexation has the potential to increase actinide mobility and hamper waste isolation in geologic nuclear waste repositories. This study shows that humic complexation of tetravalent actinides (Th(IV), U(IV), Np(IV), and Pu(IV)) has been overestimated in past performance assessments of the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP). Major reductions are needed for PHUMSIM and PHUMCIM, the equilibrium concentration ratios of humic-bound aqueous actinide to non-colloidal aqueous actinide. These coefficients are currently set at a value of 6.3 based on Th(IV) measurements in particle size fractions of seawater. Actual humic partitioning is expected to be significantly lower in WIPP brines primarily because pH is higher (∼9) and concentrations of competing cations (e.g., Mg2+) are higher. In this work, data from recent studies of Th(IV)-humic, U(IV)-humic, and Ca2+-humic complexation are used to simulate competitive humic complexation under WIPP repository conditions and to estimate new An(IV) PHUMSIM and PHUMCIM values. The new lower coefficients reduce the humic-bound An(IV) concentrations by more than 99%, causing a reduction in total mobile An(IV) concentrations by 85% to 86%, assuming no other type of An(IV) colloid (i.e., intrinsic, microbial, and mineral fragment colloids) is present in significant concentrations.

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Status of Progress Made Toward Safety Analysis and Technical Site Evaluations for DOE Managed HLW and SNF

Sevougian, Stephen D.; Stein, Emily S.; Gross, Michael B.; Hammond, Glenn E.; Frederick, Jennifer M.; Mariner, Paul M.

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE) is conducting research and development (R&D) on generic deep geologic disposal systems (i.e., repositories). This report describes specific activities in FY 2016 associated with the development of a Defense Waste Repository (DWR)a for the permanent disposal of a portion of the HLW and SNF derived from national defense and research and development (R&D) activities of the DOE.

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The On-line Waste Library (OWL): Usage and Inventory Status Report

Sassani, David C.; Jang, Jay J.; Mariner, Paul M.; Price, Laura L.; Rechard, Robert P.; Rigali, Mark J.; Rogers, Ralph R.; Stein, Emily S.; Walkow, Walter M.; Weck, Philippe F.

The Waste Form Disposal Options Evaluation Report (SNL 2014) evaluated disposal of both Commercial Spent Nuclear Fuel (CSNF) and DOE-managed HLW and Spent Nuclear Fuel (DHLW and DSNF) in the variety of disposal concepts being evaluated within the Used Fuel Disposition Campaign. That work covered a comprehensive inventory and a wide range of disposal concepts. The primary goal of this work is to evaluate the information needs for analyzing disposal solely of a subset of those wastes in a Defense Repository (DRep; i.e., those wastes that are either defense related, or managed by DOE but are not commercial in origin). A potential DRep also appears to be safe in the range of geologic mined repository concepts, but may have different concepts and features because of the very different inventory of waste that would be included. The focus of this status report is to cover the progress made in FY16 toward: (1) developing a preliminary DRep included inventory for engineering/design analyses; (2) assessing the major differences of this included inventory relative to that in other analyzed repository systems and the potential impacts to disposal concepts; (3) designing and developing an on-line waste library (OWL) to manage the information of all those wastes and their waste forms (including CSNF if needed); and (4) constraining post-closure waste form degradation performance for safety assessments of a DRep. In addition, some continuing work is reported on identifying potential candidate waste types/forms to be added to the full list from SNL (2014 – see Table C-1) which also may be added to the OWL in the future. The status for each of these aspects is reported herein.

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Advances in Geologic Disposal System Modeling and Application to Crystalline Rock

Mariner, Paul M.; Stein, Emily S.; Frederick, Jennifer M.; Sevougian, Stephen D.; Hammond, Glenn E.

The Used Fuel Disposition Campaign (UFDC) of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Fuel Cycle Technology (OFCT) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of used nuclear fuel (UNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). Two of the high priorities for UFDC disposal R&D are design concept development and disposal system modeling (DOE 2011). These priorities are directly addressed in the UFDC Generic Disposal Systems Analysis (GDSA) work package, which is charged with developing a disposal system modeling and analysis capability for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media (e.g., salt, granite, clay, and deep borehole disposal). This report describes specific GDSA activities in fiscal year 2016 (FY 2016) toward the development of the enhanced disposal system modeling and analysis capability for geologic disposal of nuclear waste. The GDSA framework employs the PFLOTRAN thermal-hydrologic-chemical multi-physics code and the Dakota uncertainty sampling and propagation code. Each code is designed for massively-parallel processing in a high-performance computing (HPC) environment. Multi-physics representations in PFLOTRAN are used to simulate various coupled processes including heat flow, fluid flow, waste dissolution, radionuclide release, radionuclide decay and ingrowth, precipitation and dissolution of secondary phases, and radionuclide transport through engineered barriers and natural geologic barriers to the biosphere. Dakota is used to generate sets of representative realizations and to analyze parameter sensitivity.

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Application of Generic Disposal System Models

Mariner, Paul M.; Hammond, Glenn E.; Sevougian, Stephen D.; Stein, Emily S.

This report describes specific GDSA activities in fiscal year 2015 (FY2015) toward the development of the enhanced disposal system modeling and analysis capability for geologic disposal of nuclear waste. The GDSA framework employs the PFLOTRAN thermal-hydrologic-chemical multi-physics code (Hammond et al., 2011) and the Dakota uncertainty sampling and propagation code (Adams et al., 2013). Each code is designed for massively-parallel processing in a high-performance computing (HPC) environment. Multi-physics representations in PFLOTRAN are used to simulate various coupled processes including heat flow, fluid flow, waste dissolution, radionuclide release, radionuclide decay and ingrowth, precipitation and dissolution of secondary phases, and radionuclide transport through the engineered barriers and natural geologic barriers to a well location in an overlying or underlying aquifer. Dakota is used to generate sets of representative realizations and to analyze parameter sensitivity.

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Estimation of dilution, capture, and dose for IAEA reference biospheres

15th International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Conference 2015, IHLRWM 2015

Mariner, Paul M.; Gardner, William P.

The calculation of radionuclide concentrations in a receptor well of a generic reference aquifer is highly dependent on the mixing that occurs in the aquifer and well. This study tests two simple analytical approaches for estimating well concentrations: a Generic Aquifer Transport and Capture (GATC) approach and an adapted IAEA ERB1B model. These approaches are tested against a 3-D generic repository model simulated numerically using PFLOTRAN. Because the PFLOTRAN model in this study simulates a diffusive release to the aquifer and the ERB1B model is designed for advective releases, the ERB1B model had to be adapted to accept a diffusive release. The results show that for this PFLOTRAN simulation the GATC equations accurately predict the initial breakthrough and peak concentration at the well but somewhat overestimate concentrations between these points. The adapted ERB1B model only predicts the peak accurately. Similar studies with broader aquifer domains and different types of advective and diffusive releases to the aquifer are needed to fully test the ranges of these analytical approaches.

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Performance Assessment Modeling and Sensitivity Analyses of Generic Disposal System Concepts

Sevougian, Stephen D.; Freeze, Geoffrey A.; Gardner, William P.; Hammond, Glenn E.; Mariner, Paul M.

directly, rather than through simplified abstractions. It also a llows for complex representations of the source term, e.g., the explicit representation of many individual waste packages (i.e., meter - scale detail of an entire waste emplacement drift). This report fulfills the Generic Disposal System Analysis Work Packa ge Level 3 Milestone - Performance Assessment Modeling and Sensitivity Analyses of Generic Disposal System Concepts (M 3 FT - 1 4 SN08080 3 2 ).

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Analysis report for WIPP colloid model constraints and performance assessment parameters

Mariner, Paul M.; Sassani, David C.

An analysis of the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) colloid model constraints and parameter values was performed. The focus of this work was primarily on intrinsic colloids, mineral fragment colloids, and humic substance colloids, with a lesser focus on microbial colloids. Comments by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) concerning intrinsic Th(IV) colloids and Mg-Cl-OH mineral fragment colloids were addressed in detail, assumptions and data used to constrain colloid model calculations were evaluated, and inconsistencies between data and model parameter values were identified. This work resulted in a list of specific conclusions regarding model integrity, model conservatism, and opportunities for improvement related to each of the four colloid types included in the WIPP performance assessment.

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Proceedings of the scientific visit on crystalline rock repository development

Mariner, Paul M.; Hardin, Ernest H.

A scientific visit on Crystalline Rock Repository Development was held in the Czech Republic on September 24-27, 2012. The visit was hosted by the Czech Radioactive Waste Repository Authority (RAWRA), co-hosted by Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), and supported by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). The purpose of the visit was to promote technical information exchange between participants from countries engaged in the investigation and exploration of crystalline rock for the eventual construction of nuclear waste repositories. The visit was designed especially for participants of countries that have recently commenced (or recommenced) national repository programmes in crystalline host rock formations. Discussion topics included repository programme development, site screening and selection, site characterization, disposal concepts in crystalline host rock, regulatory frameworks, and safety assessment methodology. Interest was surveyed in establishing a %E2%80%9Cclub,%E2%80%9D the mission of which would be to identify and address the various technical challenges that confront the disposal of radioactive waste in crystalline rock environments. The idea of a second scientific visit to be held one year later in another host country received popular support. The visit concluded with a trip to the countryside south of Prague where participants were treated to a tour of the laboratory and underground facilities of the Josef Regional Underground Research Centre.

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Overview of Total System Model Used for the 2008 Performance Assessment for the Proposed High-Level Radioactive Waste Repository at Yucca Mountain Nevada

Proposed for publication in Reliability Engineering and System Safety.

Hansen, Clifford H.; Olszewska-Wasiolek, Maryla A.; Bryan, Charles R.; Hardin, Ernest H.; Jarek, Russell L.; Mariner, Paul M.; Mattie, Patrick D.; Sassani, David C.; Sevougian, Stephen D.; Stein, Joshua S.

Abstract not provided.

Calculation of pH inside a breached waste package

13th International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Conference 2011, IHLRWMC 2011

Mariner, Paul M.; Wang, Yifeng; Domski, Paul S.

An in-package chemistry model is presented to calculate pH in the pore space of degradation products inside a breached waste package in the unsaturated environment of the Yucca Mountain repository. The pH is calculated as a function of liquid influx rate, partial pressure of carbon dioxide, solid-water volume ratio in the porous degradation products (provided by a coupled water balance model), and the relative rate of steel and waste form degradation. The EQ3/6 code is used to calculate pH at high liquid influx rates and zero liquid influx rates (vapor influx only). For mid-range liquid influx rates, a Damkohler ratio is defined and used to interpolate between the pH values calculated at the two extremes. This approach allows the in-package pH to be calculated over broad ranges of key parameters in a total system performance assessment.

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Granite disposal of U.S. high-level radioactive waste

Mariner, Paul M.; Lee, Joon L.; Hardin, Ernest H.; Hansen, Francis D.; Freeze, Geoffrey A.; Lord, Anna S.; Goldstein, Barry G.

This report evaluates the feasibility of disposing U.S. high-level radioactive waste in granite several hundred meters below the surface of the earth. The U.S. has many granite formations with positive attributes for permanent disposal. Similar crystalline formations have been extensively studied by international programs, two of which, in Sweden and Finland, are the host rocks of submitted or imminent repository license applications. This report is enabled by the advanced work of the international community to establish functional and operational requirements for disposal of a range of waste forms in granite media. In this report we develop scoping performance analyses, based on the applicable features, events, and processes (FEPs) identified by international investigators, to support generic conclusions regarding post-closure safety. Unlike the safety analyses for disposal in salt, shale/clay, or deep boreholes, the safety analysis for a mined granite repository depends largely on waste package preservation. In crystalline rock, waste packages are preserved by the high mechanical stability of the excavations, the diffusive barrier of the buffer, and favorable chemical conditions. The buffer is preserved by low groundwater fluxes, favorable chemical conditions, backfill, and the rigid confines of the host rock. An added advantage of a mined granite repository is that waste packages would be fairly easy to retrieve, should retrievability be an important objective. The results of the safety analyses performed in this study are consistent with the results of comprehensive safety assessments performed for sites in Sweden, Finland, and Canada. They indicate that a granite repository would satisfy established safety criteria and suggest that a small number of FEPs would largely control the release and transport of radionuclides. In the event the U.S. decides to pursue a potential repository in granite, a detailed evaluation of these FEPs would be needed to inform site selection and safety assessment.

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Reducing variance in batch partitioning measurements

Mariner, Paul M.

The partitioning experiment is commonly performed with little or no attention to reducing measurement variance. Batch test procedures such as those used to measure K{sub d} values (e.g., ASTM D 4646 and EPA402 -R-99-004A) do not explain how to evaluate measurement uncertainty nor how to minimize measurement variance. In fact, ASTM D 4646 prescribes a sorbent:water ratio that prevents variance minimization. Consequently, the variance of a set of partitioning measurements can be extreme and even absurd. Such data sets, which are commonplace, hamper probabilistic modeling efforts. An error-savvy design requires adjustment of the solution:sorbent ratio so that approximately half of the sorbate partitions to the sorbent. Results of Monte Carlo simulations indicate that this simple step can markedly improve the precision and statistical characterization of partitioning uncertainty.

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150 Results