The Department of Energy's 2008 Yucca Mountain Performance Assessment represents the culmination of more than two decades of analyses of post-closure repository performance in support of programmatic decision making for the proposed Yucca Mountain repository. The 2008 performance assessment summarizes the estimated long-term risks to the health and safety of the public resulting from disposal of spent nuclear fuel and high-level radioactive waste in the proposed Yucca Mountain repository. The standards at 10 CFR Part 63 request several numerical estimates quantifying performance of the repository over time. This paper summarizes the key quantitative results from the performance assessment and presents uncertainty and sensitivity analyses for these results.
The Waste Isolation Pilot Plant was licensed for disposal of transuranic wastes generated by the US Department of Energy. The facility consists of a repository mined in a bedded salt formation, approximately 650 m below the surface. Regulations promulgated by the US Environmental Protection Agency require that performance assessment calculations for the repository include the possibility that an exploratory drilling operation could penetrate the waste disposal areas at some time in the future. Release of contaminated solids could reach the surface during a drilling intrusion. One of the mechanisms for release, known as spallings, can occur if gas pressures in the repository exceed the hydrostatic pressure of a column of drilling mud. Calculation of solids releaes for spallings depends critically on the conceptual models for the waste, for the spallings process, and assumptions regarding driller parameters and practices. This paper presents a review of the evolution of these models during the regulatory review of the Compliance Certification Application for the repository. A summary and perspectives on the implementation of conservative assumptions in model development are also provided.