Publications

MacKinnon, R.J.; Mattie, Patrick D.; Baca, Robert G.; Lee, Joon L.; Schreiber, J.D.; Sevougian, Stephen D.; Stockman, C.T.

Abstract not provided.

Reliability Engineering and System Safety

Vaughn, P.; Bean, I.E.; Helton, J.C.; Lord, M.E.; MacKinnon, R.J.; Schreiber, J.D.

The following topics related to the representation of two-phase (i.e. gas and brine) flow in the vicinity of the repository in the 1996 performance assessment (PA) for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) are discussed: (i) system of nonlinear partial differential equations used to model two-phase flow; (ii) incorporation of repository shafts into model; (iii) creep closure of repository; (iv) interbed fracturing; (v) gas generation; (vi) capillary action in waste; (vii) borehole model; (viii) numerical solution; and (ix) gas and brine flow across specified boundaries. Two-phase flow calculations are a central part of the 1996 WIPP PA and supply results that are subsequently used in the calculation of releases to the surface at the time of a drilling intrusion (i.e. spallings, direct brine releases) and long-term releases due to radionuclide transport by flowing groundwater.

Reliability Engineering and System Safety

Helton, J.C.; Bean, I.E.; Economy, K.; Garner, J.W.; MacKinnon, R.J.; Miller, J.; Schreiber, J.D.; Vaughn, P.

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis results obtained in the 1996 performance assessment for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant are presented for two-phase flow in the vicinity of the repository under undisturbed conditions. Techniques based on Latin hypercube sampling, examination of scatterplots, stepwise regression analysis, partial correlation analysis and rank transformations are used to investigate brine inflow, gas generation, repository pressure, brine saturation, and brine and gas outflow. Of the variables under study, repository pressure is potentially the most important due to its influence on spallings and direct brine releases, with the uncertainty in its value being dominated by the extent to which the microbial degradation of cellulose takes place, the rate at which the corrosion of steel takes place, and the amount of brine that drains from the surrounding disturbed rock zone into the repository.