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Uncertainty Quantification of Pressurization Due to Organic Material Decomposition

Keedy, Ryan M.

A new approach for describing the uncertainty associated with organic material decomposition in an abnormal thermal environment is des cribed. Rather than applying multiplier s to the pressure predicted by the simulation , the uncertain parameters are incorporated in a broader Latin hypercube sampling study. The resulting distribution gives more information than the pressure multiplier, but similar uncertainty bounds can be derived from a log - normal fit.