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Potential impacts of alternative waste forms on long-term performance of geological repositories for radioactive waste

Hansen, Clifford H.; Swift, Peter N.; Hardin, Ernest H.; MacKinnon, R.J.; Sassani, David C.; Sevougian, S.D.

Published results of performance assessments for deep geologic disposal of high-level radioactive waste and spent nuclear fuel provide insight into those aspects of the waste form that are potentially important to the long-term performance of a repository system. Alternative waste forms, such as might result from new technologies for processing spent fuel and advances in nuclear reactor design, have the potential to affect the long-term performance of a geologic repository. This paper reviews relevant results of existing performance assessments for a range of disposal concepts and provides observations about how hypothetical modifications to waste characteristics (e.g., changes in radionuclide inventory, thermal loading, and durability of waste forms) might impact results of the performance assessment models. Disposal concepts considered include geologic repositories in both saturated and unsaturated environments. Specifically, we consider four recent performance assessments as representative of a range of disposal concepts. We examine the extent to which results of these performance assessments are affected by (i) thermal loading of the waste proposed for disposal; (ii) mechanical and chemical lifetime of the waste form; and (iii) radionuclide content of the waste. We find that peak subsurface temperature generally is a constraint that can be met through engineering solutions and that processing of wastes to reduce thermal power may enable more efficient use of repositories rather than improved repository performance. We observe that the rate of radionuclide release is often limited by geologic or chemical processes other than waste form degradation. Thus, the effects on repository performance of extending waste-form lifetime may be relatively small unless the waste form lifetime becomes sufficiently long relative to the period of repository performance. Finally, we find that changes to radionuclide content of waste (e.g., by separation or transmutation processes) do not in general correspond to proportional effects on repository performance. Rather, the effect of changes to radionuclide content depends on the relative mobility of various radionuclides through the repository system, and consequently on repository geology and geochemistry.