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An extension of conditional point sampling to quantify uncertainty due to material mixing randomness

Vu, Emily V.; Olson, Aaron J.

Radiation transport in stochastic media is a problem found in a multitude of applications, and the need for tools that are capable of thoroughly modeling this type of problem remains. A collection of approximate methods have been developed to produce accurate mean results, but the demand for methods that are capable of quantifying the spread of results caused by the randomness of material mixing remains. In this work, the new stochastic media transport algorithm Conditional Point Sampling is expanded using Embedded Variance Deconvolution such that it can compute the variance caused by material mixing. The accuracy of this approach is assessed for 1D, binary, Markovian-mixed media by comparing results to published benchmark values, and the behavior of the method is numerically studied as a function of user parameters. We demonstrate that this extension of Conditional Point Sampling is able to compute the variance caused by material mixing with accuracy dependent on the accuracy of the conditional probability function used.