Publications
An Assessment of Current Understanding of the Greenhouse Gas Impacts from H2 Emissions
With the anticipated growth in hydrogen generation and use as part of a broad shift in energy use away from fossil fuels, concerns have been raised regarding the impact of increased H2 emissions on global warming. Atmospheric scientists have long recognized that H2 emissions into the atmosphere do have an indirect impact on global warming, largely because a portion of emitted H2 is consumed by the hydroxyl radical (OH), which is the primary reactant that removes the potent greenhouse gas methane from the atmosphere. Therefore, increases in H2 emissions will result in decreases in the average OH concentrations in the atmosphere and an increase in the atmospheric lifetime of methane. Various assessments of the impact of H2 emissions on global warming have been performed over the past couple of decades. These assessments have yielded significant variability and recognized uncertainty in the magnitude of the warming effect of a given quantity of emitted H2, and an even greater uncertainty in the magnitude of H2 leakage and releases that can be anticipated with an expanded H2 infrastructure. Consequently, definitive estimates of the magnitude of the warming effect of additional emitted H2 are lacking. However, given the current understanding of the warming potential of emitted H2 and given reasonable expectations of the emission rate of an expanded H2 infrastructure, it is anticipated that warming effects from emitted H2 will offset no more than 5% of the reduction in warming associated with avoided CO2 emissions from using clean H2. Further, it is highly unlikely that the warming effects from emitted H2 will offset more than 10% of the benefit from avoided CO2 emissions, at least as considered over a typical 100-year accounting period. Because of the short atmospheric lifetimes of H2 and methane, however, the warming effect of emitted H2 is enhanced over the first few years following increases in H2 emission.